Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Rare unity on the presidential trackers, but are they accurate?

For the first time, we get both uniform movement and results from the pair of daily tracking polls (Gallup and Rasmussen). Both of them edged incrementally in the direction of the president, and both polls also showed exactly the same result: a 46-46 tie between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney.

Normally, that kind of consensus would seem to make an ironclad case that these polls are in the fairway of providing an accurate picture of the state of the presidential campaign. There is still enough contrary data out there, however, to make us wonder.

First, the numbers:

(GOP) PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY POLLING (yes...again!):

NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): Romney 55, Santorum 15, Paul 12, Gingrich 11

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (49-44)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (47-43)

VIRGINIA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (51-43); Obama d. Paul (50-39); Obama d. Gingrich (53-37)

WEST VIRGINIA (RL Repass and Partners): Romney d. Obama (54-37)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

KY-06 (Mellman Group for Chandler): Rep. Ben Chandler (D) 54, Andy Barr (R) 30

MT-AL (PPP): Steve Daines (R) 33, Kim Gillan (D) 27; Daines 36, Franke Willmer (D) 25

MT-AL'D (PPP): Kim Gillan 21, Diane Smith 13, Franke Willmer 11, Dave Strohmaier 9, Sam Rankin 4, Rob Stutz 1

MT-SEN (PPP): Sen. Jon Tester (D) 48, Denny Rehberg (R) 43

NV-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 51, Shelley Berkley (D) 40

NC-GOV'D (SurveyUSA): Walter Dalton 32, Bob Etheridge 23, Gary Dunn 5, Bill Faison 5, Gardenia Henley 3, Bruce Blackmon 2

NC-GOV'R (SurveyUSA): Pat McCrory 65, Jim Harney 3, Scott Jones 3, Charles Kenneth Moss 3, Jim Mahan 2, Paul Wright 2

NC'ANTI-MARRIAGE EQUALITY AMENDMENT (PPP): Yes 55, No 41

NC'ANTI-MARRIAGE EQUALITY AMENDMENT (SurveyUSA): Yes 57, No 37

WV-GOV (RL Repass and Partners): Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin (D) 60, Bill Maloney (R) 32

WV-SEN (RL Repass and Partners): Sen. Joe Manchin (D) 74, John Raese (R) 22

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...