Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: New week brings new data from coast to coast

Late last week, I speculated that the Memorial Day holiday might lead to a fairly light polling week. I further speculated that if that wasn't the case, it'd be because of a slightly higher volume owed to the Texas primaries today and the big set of races up next week.

Yeah, so much for my skills of prognostication. It's not a particuarly heavy day (roughly a dozen polls on tap), but it is by no means Monday Light. And only two of the polls up on tap deal with races pending in the next 10 days.

So, here is hoping that my skills of political analysis are stronger than my skills at telling the future.

On to the numbers!

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

CALIFORNIA (LA Times/USC): Obama d. Romney (56-37)

COLORADO (Project New America): Obama d. Romney (48-44)

MICHIGAN (PPP): Obama d. Romney (53-39)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
(2014) FL-GOV (Florida Opinion Research): Charlie Crist (D) 48, Gov. Rick Scott (R) 34

IL-10 (Internal poll for Schneider): Rep. Bob Dold (R) 39, Brad Schneider (D) 39

MO-SEN (PPP): Todd Akin (R) 45, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 44; McCaskill 44, Sarah Steelman (R) 44; McCaskill 46, John Brunner (R) 44

MO-SEN'R (PPP): Sarah Steelman 28, John Brunner 25, Todd Akin 23

NM-SEN'D (Albuquerque Journal): Martin Heinrich 51, Hector Balderas 26

NM-SEN'R (Albuquerque Journal): Heather Wilson 66, Greg Sowards 20

NM-01'D (Albuquerque Journal): Eric Griego 33, Michelle Lujan Grisham 33, Martin Chavez 20

NC-GOV (National Research--R): Pat McCrory (R) 48, Walter Dalton (D) 38

VA-08'D (Gravis Marketing for Shuttleworth): Rep. Jim Moran 19, Brian Shuttleworth 16

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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