Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Pre-convention polls present a very mixed portrait of November

For a Monday, this is actually a fairly busy edition of the Polling Wrap, which might have something to do with the fact that the convention season is upon us.

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (ABC/Washington Post): Romney d. Obama (47-46)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-46)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-44)

NATIONAL (Resurgent Republic--R): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

NATIONAL (The Tarrance Group for the Public Notice): Obama d. Romney (47-46)

FLORIDA (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama d. Romney (50-46 LV; 51-42 RV)

MASSACHUSETTS (Kimball Consulting--R): Obama d. Romney (52-41)

MICHIGAN (Mitchell Research): Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

MISSOURI (Gravis Marketing--R): Romney d. Obama and Johnson (53-36-4)

MISSOURI (Mason Dixon for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch): Romney d. Obama (50-43)

NORTH CAROLINA (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama d. Romney (48-46 RV) Romney d. Obama (48-47 LV)

NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA for High Point University): Obama tied with Romney (43-43)

OHIO (Columbus Dispatch): Obama tied with Romney (45-45)

PENNSYLVANIA (Global Strategy Group/National Research for the Philadelphia Inquirer): Obama d. Romney (51-42)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
MA-SEN (Kimball Consulting--R): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 49, Elizabeth Warren (D) 43

MI-SEN (Mitchell Research): Pete Hoekstra (R) 45, Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 44

MO-SEN (Gravis Marketing--R): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 39, Todd Akin (R) 37

MO-SEN (Mason Dixon for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 50, Todd Akin (R) 41

OH-SEN (Columbus Dispatch): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 44, Josh Mandel (R) 44

PA-SEN (Global Strategy Group and National Research for the Philadelphia Inquirer): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 53, Tom Smith (R) 34

PA-06 (WPA Research for the Gerlach campaign): Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) 54, Manan Trivedi (D) 30

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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