Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off: ' CT-Sen: It certainly looks like Linda McMahon's massive spending spree has paid off: Quinnipiac's new poll shows the Republican wrestling mogul leading Dem Rep. Chris Murphy 49-46, up from a 46-43 Murphy edge in early June. In addition to McMahon's huge advertising blitz, Quinnipiac also switched from a registered voter model to a likely voter model, which partly explains the shift. I'd also note that despite McMahon's attempted makeover, it seems like her negative ads have had more of an impact than her positive spots: Murphy's favorability is now 38-30, compared to 37-17 in June, while hers has changed very little, going from 45-38 to 47-35.
In the same survey, by the way, Obama leads Romney by just 52-45, which is very similar to what PPP found at the end of last month (also using an LV sample). You gotta wonder who these Obama-McMahon voters are. But regardless, the Murphy campaign isn't disputing Quinnipiac's findings, saying in a statement: "This was always going to be a tough race, and we don't take anything for granted and neither should McMahon."
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