Thursday, August 2, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: PPP confirms Mark Neumann's surge in Wisconsin GOP Senate race

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' WI-Sen: PPP's new poll of the Wisconsin GOP primary confirms what We Ask America saw earlier this week: a surge for ex-Rep. Mark Neumann. Businessman Eric Hovde remains in the lead at 28, while Neumann is tied with ex-Gov. Tommy Thompson at 25. That's a remarkable turnaround for Neumann, who was at just 15 in PPP's early July poll, which represented a 10-point drop for him after Hovde got into the race. But now Hovde, who was at 31 last time, is slipping, despite his lavish spending. So is Thompson, who stood at 29 in PPP's prior survey but is now badly suffering among self-described conservatives. There are still two weeks left and this race is still anybody's game. Democrats just have to hope that Neumann, the candidate we'd most like to face, still has enough momentum left to carry him over the finish line.

And if Neumann can pull off the unlikely upset, he may wind up having the Club for Growth to thank. Fresh off their impressive effort powering Ted Cruz to victory in the Texas Senate GOP runoff, the Club is now airing a new ad that squeezes in attacks on Eric Hovde and Tommy Thompson, then praises Neumann as "Wisconsin's most conservative congressman in decades." There's no word on the size of the buy yet, but the CfG will have to file an IE report soon, and I wouldn't be surprised if they go big.


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