Thursday, May 17, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Bizarro world as Democrats hail great poll from ... Fox News?!

Welcome to ass-backwards Wednesday, where Republicans breathlessly flog a CBS poll, while Democrats turn to Fox News for a counterpoint.

No shit. It's been that kind of a week on the political data front. Democrats took a number of hits this week from less-than-encouraging polling (Wisconsin has been a particular disappointment, though there is still time left on the clock, and the margins remain quite close). And, then, out of nowhere, Fox News produces a poll that one feels confident will not get six seconds of airtime on their own network.

They'll probably flog the new Rasmussen polls, instead.

Here are the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Fox News): Obama d. Romney (46-39)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (45-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-46)

NATIONAL (YouGov for the Economist): Obama d. Romney (46-42)

NEW JERSEY (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (49-39)

NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (48-47)

NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (51-43)

WISCONSIN (Marquette Law): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
NH-GOV (PPP): Ovide Lamontagne (R) 40, Maggie Hassan (D) 39; Lamontagne 38, Jackie Cilley (D) 38; Hassan 37, Kevin Smith (R) 31; Cilley 37, Smith 32

NH-GOV'D (PPP): Maggie Hassan 23, Jackie Cilley 20

NH-GOV'R (PPP): Ovide Lamontagne 53, Kevin Smith 13

NJ-SEN (Quinnipiac): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 45, Joseph Kyrillos (R) 35

RI-01'D (Fleming and Associates): Rep. David Cicilline 40, Anthony Gemma 36

WI-GOV (Marquette Law): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 50, Tom Barrett (D) 44

WI-LT GOV (Marquette Law): Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch (R) 47, Mahlon Mitchell (D) 41

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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