Friday, May 4, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: PPP takes an early look at the 2013 Virginia governor's race

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' VA-Gov: Public Policy Polling has a very early look at the 2013 gubernatorial race in Virginia, where Democrats would actually start off with a big advantage'but only if Sen. Mark Warner were to try to reclaim the governor's mansion, which he held from 2002 to 2006. Here are the results (4/26-29, Virginia voters, MoE: ±3.8%, no trendlines):

Mark Warner (D): 53
Ken Cuccinelli (R): 33
Undecided: 14

Mark Warner (D): 53
Bill Bolling (R): 32
Undecided: 14

Mark Warner (D): 58
Tareq Salahi (R): 19
Undecided: 23

Terry McAuliffe (D): 41
Ken Cuccinelli (R): 36
Undecided: 23

Terry McAuliffe (D): 34
Bill Bolling (R): 36
Undecided: 30

Terry McAuliffe (D): 43
Tareq Salahi (R): 18
Undecided: 38

Tom Perriello (D): 39
Ken Cuccinelli (R): 36
Undecided: 25

Tom Perriello (D): 34
Bill Bolling (R): 35
Undecided: 31

Tom Perriello (D): 44
Tareq Salahi (R): 20
Undecided: 36

In case you are unfamiliar with the other players, Terry McAuliffe is a former DNC chair and also an unsuccessful 2009 candidate for the Democratic nomination; Tom Perriello is a former one-term congressman who represented VA-05; Bill Bolling is the state's current lieutenant governor and "establishment" choice; Ken Cuccinelli is Virginia's attorney general and a favorite among movement conservatives; and Tareq Salahi is that rich d-bag who is most famous for crashing a White House state dinner with his wife in 2009.

PPP also tested the GOP primary (MoE: ±4.9%):

Ken Cuccinelli (R): 51
Bill Bolling (R): 23
Tareq Salahi (R): 4
Undecided: 22
This is actually good news for Democrats, since Bolling performs better against our lesser-known candidates (McAuliffe and Perriello) than the more polarizing Cuccinelli. Of course, that could change over the next year-and-a-half, but for now, I'll take it. (And man must Bolling be regretting his decision to defer to Bob McDonnell in the gubernatorial race in 2009. He figured he'd have a clean shot in 2013 by "waiting his turn," but Cuccinelli's ambition has completely ruined those plans.)


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