Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Daily Kos Elections May 8, 2012 primary liveblog thread #4

Daily Kos Elections Liveblog Banner Tonight, we're liveblogging primary election results in Indiana North Carolina, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. For our handy guide to all of the key races, click here.

Results: Indiana | North Carolina | West Virginia | Wisconsin


5:35 PM PT: This is pretty amazing:

In 1977, when Lugar came to the Senate, 3 of his colleagues had been born in the 1890s. One--McClellan--voted on Social Security in 1935.
— @TerryMoran via web

5:44 PM PT: IN-05 (R) has tightened quite a bit, with David McIntosh at 31 and Susan Brooks just behind at 29. That's because Hamilton County, where Brooks leads 32-27, is starting to report.

5:49 PM PT: Indeed, IN-05 is now 30-30 between Brooks and McIntosh, but there's a new name in third place, John McGoff. However, McGoff's all the way back at 21, and he hasn't been kicking nearly enough ass in his home county of Marion to make enough of a difference.

5:57 PM PT: What an absolutely remarkable series of tweets:

I was just handed a copy of @dicklugar's concession speech. He says he hopes @richardmourdock wins in November. #INSen
' @ericbradner via web Whoa. Just handed a second, follow-up statement from the @dicklugar campaign. #INSen
' @ericbradner via web Of Mourdock, Lugar says: "His embrace of an unrelenting partisan mindset is irreconcilable with my philosophy of governance." #INSen
' @ericbradner via web "Unless he modifies his approach, he will achieve little as a legislator," @dicklugar says of @richardmourdock. #INSen
' @ericbradner via web Lugar: "Our political system is losing its ability to explore alternatives. ... Voters will be electing a slate of inflexible positions."
' @ericbradner via web Read both @dicklugar's first and second statements -- the second is much more critical of Mourdock -- here: http://t.co/... #INSen
' @ericbradner via Twitter for iPhone

5:58 PM PT (Steve Singiser): With about a million votes in the books in North Carolina, let's get an update on where the state's 13 House districts stand, especially given the high volume of competitive primaries scheduled for tonight:

  • In NC-02, freshman Rep. Renee Ellmers continues to underwhelm. She has 53 percent of the vote against "Some Dude" Richard Speer, who has 31 percent. Meanwhile, Steve Wilkins has a narrow lead on the Democratic side.
  • In NC-03, the expected tea-infused challenge to apostate GOP Rep. Walter Jones has basically failed to materialize. Jones is whomping former sheriff Frank Palombo 67-33, and is a lock to win in November.
  • In NC-06, the pair of challengers to elderly Rep. Howard Coble are holding his numbers down, but he still looks poised for victory. He sits at 54 percent, down markedly from earlier in the night. However, he is well above the 40 percent benchmark to avoid a runoff, and his challengers are almost evenly splitting the vote.
  • In NC-07, the high-profile battle to face veteran Democratic Rep. Mike McIntyre in the red-tinted 7th district is a bit one-sided...for now. 2010 nominee Ilario Pantano has a 54-39 lead over state Rep. David Rouzer. But Rouzer's home turf has allegedly not chimed in yet, which means we can expect this one to tighten.
  • Democratic Rep. Larry Kissell might have to wait a little longer to find out the identity of his challenger in NC-08. Richard Hudson (33 percent) and Scott Keadle (21 percent) pace the field, but batshit crazy Vernon Robinson lingers just off the pace (17 percent). Is it too much to hope for?
  • A runoff also appears likely in the GOP open seat in NC-09. Robert Pittenger (35 percent) and Jim Pendergraph (27 percent) are the near-certain runoff participants on the GOP side. Democrats, meanwhile, have coalesced around Jennifer Roberts, in a race that is most definitely  a long shot, but not impossible, for the Democrats to pick off.
  • Patrick McHenry's district (NC-10) also falls into that longshot mold, but the GOP incumbent will have an experienced challenger, it seems. Asheville's Patsy Keever, who ran competitively against former Rep. Charles Taylor about a decade ago, is back for another round. She is holding a huge lead in the Democratic primary (58 percent).
  • In the Democratic open seat in NC-11 being abandoned by Heath Shuler, his former staffer Hayden Rogers has pulled away from Cecil Bothwell. The margin is now 20 points (53-33). Republican Mark Meadows is still leading on the GOP side, and barely above runoff level (40 percent) at last check.
  • Finally, Democrats have picked a nominee, it seems, in the open 13th district, formerly held by Brad Miller but made far less hospitable in redistricting. Charles Malone has a giant lead. However, the GOP nominee here will be the betting favorite. George Holding is clinging to that nomination, leading former Raleigh Mayor Paul Coble by a 43-36 margin.

6:03 PM PT: Susan Brooks has now taken the lead IN-05 (R), 30-29 over David McIntosh, with 68% reporting.

6:08 PM PT (Steve Singiser): Statewide in North Carolina, the news continues to get worse for marriage equality advocates. With about half of the anticipated vote reporting, the amendment is now passing 61-39. In the gubernatorial primaries, meanwhile, the status quo has held for the past hour. Pat McCrory is owning the GOP primary (84 percent of the vote), while Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton continues to hold down a six-point edge over Bob Etheridge on the Democratic side (45-39).

6:09 PM PT: Polls are now closed in Wisconsin.

6:12 PM PT: The AP has called North Carolina's Amendment 1, which passes. It outlaws same-sex marriage and civil unions.

6:15 PM PT: The liveblog continues here.


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