Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: November gives way to August, with fresh primary polls

For one day, at least, the attention of the community of horserace political junkies is diverted from the November elections, as four states have their primary elections on tap tomorrow night. With some first-tier contests in the queue, pollsters busied themselves this weekend with some final numbers from states like Michigan, Missouri, and Washington.

And while there are some interesting downballot primaries for the Kansas state lege (legislative primaries there are often a bloodbath, due to the GOP schism), alas, there is no polling to be had in the Sunflower State.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

INDIANA (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (51-35)

WASHINGTON (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (54-37)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
HI-02--D (Merriman River Group for Civil Beat): Tulsi Gabbard 49, Mufi Hannemann 29, Esther Kia'aina 8, Bob Marx 7

HI-02--D (Ward Research for the Honolulu Star-Advertiser): Mufi Hannemann 43, Tulsi Gabbard 33, Bob Marx 8, Esther Kia'aina 7

MI-13--D (EPIC-MRA): Rep. John Conyers 57, Glenn Anderson 17, Shanelle Jackson 7, Bert Johnson 5, John Goci 4

MI-14--D (EPIC-MRA): Rep. Gary Peters 52, Rep. Hansen Clarke 33, Brenda Lawrence 7, Mary Waters 2, Bob Costello 1

MO-GOV--R (SurveyUSA): Dave Spence 42, Bill Randles 15, Fred Sauer 12, John Weiler 3

MO-SEN--R (SurveyUSA): John Brunner 35, Todd Akin 30, Sarah Steelman 25

MO-01 (SurveyUSA): Rep. Lacy Clay (D) 58, Robyn Hamlin (R) 19, Robb Cunningham (L) 6; Rep. Russ Carnahan (D) 56, Hamlin 18, Cunningham 6; Clay 58, Martin Baker (R) 18, Cunningham 7; Carnahan 56, Baker 17, Cunningham 7

MO-01--D (SurveyUSA): Rep. Lacy Clay 56, Rep. Russ Carnahan 35, Candice Britton 2

NC-GOV (Rasmussen): Pat McCrory (R) 46, Walter Dalton (D) 41

WA-GOV (SurveyUSA): Jay Inslee (D) 48, Rob McKenna (R) 45

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


No comments:

Post a Comment