Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: A ton of new polls illuminate current state of play in the House

There is a quite a pile of fresh new data to close out the month of July, and the critical mass of it is based on the battle for control of the House of Representatives. Indeed, it is a veritable internal poll-a-palooza, and within the raft of new numbers, we can see a few narratives developing as we head through the dog days of summer.

A couple of races may be more competitive than we previously thought, and at least one race that damned near everyone had notched into the "GOP pickup" column may be far less of a lock for the Republicans than previously thought.

In addition, we may well have the nominee for the most absurd poll of the cycle. And it comes from the House of Ras (or...at least...the House of Ras by a different name).

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (48-47)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

ARIZONA (PPP for the League of Conservation Voters): Romney d. Obama (52-41)

FLORIDA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (48-47)

MICHIGAN (EPIC-MRA): Obama d. Romney (48-42)

MISSOURI (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (50-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

AZ-SEN (PPP for the League of Conservation Voters): Richard Carmona (D) 38, Jeff Flake (R) 38

CA-03 (DCCC IVR Polling): Rep. John Garamendi (D) 52, Kim Vann (R) 37

CA-52 (Grove Insight for Peters): Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) 40, Scott Peters (D) 40

CT-SEN (PPP): Chris Murphy (D) 50, Linda McMahon (R) 42; Susan Bysiewicz (D) 45, McMahon 42; Murphy 47, Chris Shays (R) 38; Shays 43, Bysiewicz 40

CT-SEN'D (PPP): Chris Murphy 49, Susan Bysiewicz 32

CT-SEN'R (PPP): Linda McMahon 68, Chris Shays 20

MD-06 (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the House Majority PAC): John Delaney (D) 44, Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R) 42, Nickolaus Mueller (I) 6

MI-SEN (EPIC-MRA): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 49, Pete Hoekstra (R) 35

MI-SEN'R (EPIC-MRA): Pete Hoekstra 51, Clark Durant 27, Randy Hekman 4, Gary Glenn 3

NY-01 (Pulse Opinion Research for Altschuler): Randy Altschuler (R) 47, Rep. Tim Bishop (D) 43

NY-19 (Global Strategy Group for Schriebman): Rep. Chris Gibson (R) 42, Julian Schreibman (D) 32

NY-19 (Public Opinion Strategies for Gibson): Rep. Chris Gibson (R) 53, Julian Schreibman (D) 36

NC-07 (Grove Insight for the DCCC): Rep. Mike McIntyre (D) 53, Dave Rouzer (R) 34

UT-04 (Global Strategy Group for the House Majority PAC): Rep. Jim Matheson (D) 51, Mia Love (R) 33

WI-SEN'R (We Ask America'R): Eric Hovde 23, Tommy Thompson 23, Mark Neumann 17, Jeff Fitzgerald 12

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...