Friday, May 4, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Some states tighten, but road to 270 for Mitt Romney remains tough

A rash of new polling out today shows more good news for Mitt Romney than bad news. Quinnipiac has a big improvement for the GOP nominee in the key battleground states of Florida and Ohio, with Romney even moving into an incremental advantage in the Sunshine State.

Having said that, though, it still remains awfully difficult to see where, given current numbers, Mitt Romney cobbles together a coalition that can get him to the White House. That includes one new poll entry today that continues to give the president a solid edge in a state that was a reliably Republican state for decades.

Here are all the numbers from Thursday:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION POLLING:

NATIONAL (Democracy Corps): Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-46)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

"CORE FOUR" STATES'FL/NC/OH/VA (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (46-43)

ARIZONA (Magellan Strategies): Romney d. Obama (52-43)

FLORIDA (Quinnipiac): Romney d. Obama (44-43)

OHIO (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (44-42)

PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (47-39)

VIRGINIA (Washington Post): Obama d. Romney (51-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
AZ-SEN (Magellan Strategies): Jeff Flake (R) 44, Richard Carmona (D) 40

MT-GOV (PPP): Steve Bullock (D) 39, Rick Hill (R) 39; Bullock 41, Ken Miller (R) 35

MT-GOV'R (PPP): Rick Hill 33, Ken Miller 12, Corey Stapleton 7, Neil Livingstone 5, Jim Lynch 4, Jim O'Hara 4, Bob Fanning 1

MT-SEN (Rasmussen): Denny Rehberg (R) 53, Sen. Jon Tester (D) 43

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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