Thursday, May 10, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: House of Ras and Gallup continue to see a different WH dynamic

It pretty much has to be said at this point'Gallup and Rasmussen (the only two pollsters offering up a daily tracking poll of the presidential race) are on an island. Today brings another set of polls that stand rather far from the assessment of those two firms on the state of the race.

Not only is there contrary national polling, but there are also a set of three state polls that don't look far enough from the 2008 presidential numbers to justify the 10-12 point swing to the GOP that Gallup and the House of Ras are claiming.

To the numbers!

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Angus Reid): Romney d. Obama (49-46)

NATIONAL (Associated Press/GfK): Obama d. Romney (50-42)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (48-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (49-44)

NATIONAL (YouGov/The Economist): Obama d. Romney (44-43)

FLORIDA (Suffolk University): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

MASSACHUSETTS (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (56-35)

NEW JERSEY (Fairleigh Dickinson): Obama d. Romney (50-36)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
TX-SEN'R (Dresner Wickers Barber Sanders for a PAC supporting David Dewhurst): David Dewhurst 51, Ted Cruz 16, Tom Leppert 7, Craig James 2

WI-SEN'R (North Star Opinion Research for Eric Hovde): Tommy Thompson 30, Eric Hovde 27, Mark Neumann 23, Jeff Fitzgerald 10

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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