Thursday, June 28, 2012

SCOTUS ACA predictions

SCOTUS caricautre DONKEY HOTEY What will they do? Cartoon by DonkeyHotey

Predictions of what the Supreme Court will do today are flying all over the intertubes. Not one to be left behind, I now offer my own:

1. Whether the Anti-Injunction Act bars a challenge to the individual mandate at this time.

SCOTUS Answer - Hell No!!! When we don't want to decide a case, we'll tell you. 8-1.

2. Is the Minimum Coverage (individual mandate) provision constitutional?

SCOTUS Answer: Do you think Justice Kennedy would let the government make you eat your broccoli? Hell No. 5-4. The usual suspects.

3.  If the Minimum Coverage provision is unconstitutional, what else must go?

SCOTUS Answer: There's is a fire sale at the ACA. EVERYTHING MUST GO. Actually, I think all the regulatory reform goes. Only Medicaid expansion survives. 5-4. The usual suspects.

4. Does the Medicaid expansion constitute unconstitutional coercion of state governments?

SCOTUS Answer: Does Arizona have the right to protects its sovereign borders? My prediction - 7-2, Medicaid expansion survives. Justice Scalia delivers obscene gesture from the bench in dissent.

Your turn in the poll and comments. More info here.

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