Friday, June 29, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Is this week the dawn of a legitimate pro-Obama polling trend?

Short answer: quite possibly.

Not even Mark Halperin could look at today's smallish array of data and declare it good news for John McCain Mitt Romney. Even the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls, which have often been the thin thread tethering Republicans to political happiness, could not muster a lead for the GOP standard bearer today.

Add to that a new Fox News national poll, and a North Carolina poll that might be too good to be true (and it may well be...more on that later), and it is a good day to be the president for more than the obvious reason that we all learned about roughly 12 hours ago.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Fox News): Obama d. Romney (45-40)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-44)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (45-45)

MICHIGAN (NBC News/Marist): Obama d. Romney (47-43)

NEW HAMPSHIRE (NBC News/Marist): Obama tied with Romney (45-45)

NORTH CAROLINA (NBC News/Marist): Obama d. Romney (46-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
AZ-SEN (Rasmussen): Jeff Flake (R) 47, Richard Carmona (D) 31

MI-SEN (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 49, Pete Hoekstra (R) 37

NC-GOV (NBC News/Marist): Pat McCrory (R) 43, Walter Dalton (D) 41

WI-SEN'R (Feldman Group for Democrat Tammy Baldwin): Eric Hovde 27, Tommy Thompson 26, Mark Neumann 13, Jeff Fitzgerald 9

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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