Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Mixed news for the president on a poll-heavy Tuesday

There was a surprisingly heavy polling load today, particularly some House internals that show Democratic competitiveness in races that were well off of the watch lists for both parties.

There were also several presidential polls, but divining much from them proved quite difficult. A Republican pollster had lousy news for Barack Obama in Virginia (and a Senate number that really compromises the credibility of the numbers in the presidential race, truth be told), but halfway decent numbers (considering the source) in Colorado). PPP had decent numbers for Obama in Oregon, and a lead in Ohio, though of considerably less heft than PPP has had in the past.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

NATIONAL (NBC/Wall Street Journal): Obama d. Romney (47-44)

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (48-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-45)

"SWING STATES" (NBC/Wall Street Journal): Obama d. Romney (50-42)

COLORADO (We Ask America--R): Obama d. Romney (47-43)

MICHIGAN (Denno Research): Obama tied with Romney (40-40)

NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

OHIO (PPP): Obama d. Romney (47-44)

OREGON (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-42)

VIRGINIA (We Ask America--R): Romney d. Obama (48-43)

"Swing States" defined by NBC/WSJ as follows: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
MA-SEN (PPP): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46, Elizabeth Warren (D) 46

MN-06 (G.Q.R. for Graves): Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) 48, Jim Graves (D) 43

OH-15 (PPP for Lang): Rep. Steve Stivers (R) 43, Pat Lang (D) 33

VA-SEN (We Ask America--R): George Allen (R) 44, Tim Kaine (D) 35

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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