Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: A predictable start to the month of July

Even as the Gallup daily tracker moves several points in the direction of the president to kick off this holiday week, Rasmussen finds an electorate suddenly hungry for Republican leadership.

Yeah, yeah. I was shocked by it, too. But with virtually no polling data to speak of on this Monday evening, even the mundane gets a mention.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama d. Romney (49-46)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (48-43)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

NY-11 (Global Strategy Group for Murphy): Rep. Michael Grimm (R) 47, Mark Murphy (D) 32

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...