Saturday, July 28, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Is it fair to call Ohio 'leans Democratic'?

A new poll out today from the GOP polling crew at We Ask America raised some serious eyebrows this morning, and it raises a very fair question: is there any reason why the pundit class should still call Ohio a "tossup" between Mitt Romney and the president?

We'll investigate the case for and against designating the Buckeye State as a coin flip, but first, on to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (49-44)

NORTH DAKOTA (DFM Research for the ND Democratic Party): Romney d. Obama (54-35)

OHIO (We Ask America'R): Obama d. Romney (48-40-2)

WISCONSIN (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (49-46)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
AZ-06'R (Wenzel Strategies for Citizens United): Rep. David Schweikert 47, Rep. Ben Quayle 34

NV-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 51, Shelley Berkley (D) 42

NH-01 (PPP for Credo Action): "Someone Else" 45, Rep. Frank Guinta (R) 39

ND-SEN (DFM Research for the ND Democratic Party): Heidi Heitkamp (D) 50, Rick Berg (R) 44

TN-03'R (Wenzel Strategies for Citizens United): Rep. Chuck Fleischmann 40, Scottie Mayfield 28, Weston Wamp 19, Ron Bhalla 2

WA-01 PRIMARY (SurveyUSA): John Koster (R) 38, Suzan DelBene (D) 17, Darcy Burner (D) 13, Laura Ruderman (D) 6, Steve Hobbs (D) 5, Darshan Rauniyar (D) 2, Larry Ishmael (I) 2

WA-01 GENERAL (SurveyUSA): John Koster (R) 42, Suzan DelBene (D) 42; Koster 44, Darcy Burner (D) 42; Koster 43, Laura Ruderman (D) 37, Koster 43, Steve Hobbs (D) 36; Koster 44, Darshan Rauniyar (D) 32

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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