Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: T-minus one day until Wisconsin and the mega primary day

The second biggest election day of 2012 is right on the doorstep, and there is quite a bit of data on what has become the biggest event of the night. And all I can say about that is that someone is gonna have some egg on their face by this time on Wednesday...

We also get our first non-internal poll in the big Shberman showdown, a pair of new polls on the mega-Senate showdown in Massachusetts, and dueling internals in one of the few contested races in Pennsylvania this Fall.

On to the numbers!

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

MASSACHUSETTS (Boston Globe): Obama d. Romney (46-34)

MASSSACHUSETTS (Western New England College): Obama d. Romney (56-34)

VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
CA-30 (USC/Dornsife): Brad Sherman (D) 32, Howard Berman (D) 24, Mark Reed (R) 10, Navraj Singh (R) 4, Michael Powelson (G) 4, Susan Shelley (R) 2, Vince Gilmore (D) 2

MA-SEN (Boston Globe): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 39, Elizabeth Warren (D) 37

MA-SEN (Western New England College): Elizabeth Warren (D) 45, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 43

MO-SEN--R (American Viewpoint for Brunner): John Brunner 30, Todd Akin 23, Sarah Steelman 22

PA-06 (Lake Research for Trivedi): Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) 45, Manan Trivedi (D) 33

PA-06 (WPA Opinion Research for Gerlach): Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) 55, Manan Trivedi (D) 23

WI-GOV (Angus Reid): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 51, Tom Barrett (D) 46

WI-GOV (Garin-Hart-Yang for Barrett): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 48, Tom Barrett (D) 48

WI-GOV (PPP): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 50, Tom Barrett (D) 47

WI-GOV (We Ask America--R): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 54, Tom Barrett (D) 42

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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