Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: All about Utah, as primary eve is upon us

A relatively quiet day of polling, unless you want to be brought up to date on the political climate in Utah. Although, it must be said, if you are a regular reader of Daily Kos Elections, you probably have a pretty good feel on the political climate in Utah. (Hint: It's very, very red.)

What you might have missed over the weekend was a capsule case study in why it is hard right now to take daily tracking polls seriously. Gallup had their daily tracking poll for the approval rating for Barack Obama go from 46 percent to 51 percent and then back to 47 percent. On successive days.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (47-45)

NEW HAMPSHIRE (American Research Group): Obama d. Romney (51-43)

UTAH(Dan Jones and Associates for Deseret News/KSL): Romney d. Obama (68-26)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
MI-01 (Garin-Hart-Yang for the House Majority PAC): Rep. Dan Benishek (R) 40, Gary McDowell (D) 38

MO-SEN'R (American Viewpoint for Brunner): John Brunner 40, Todd Akin 20, Sarah Steelman 20

UT-SEN (Dan Jones and Associates for Deseret News/KSL): Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) 63, Scott Howell (D) 29; Dan Liljenquist (R) 48, Howell 34

UT-SEN'R (Dan Jones and Associates for Deseret News/KSL): Sen. Orrin Hatch 60, Dan Liljenquist 32

UT-01 (Dan Jones and Associates for Deseret News/KSL): Rep. Rob Bishop (R) 65, Ryan Combe (D) 22; Bishop 66, Donna McAleer (D) 22

UT-04 (Dan Jones and Associates for Deseret News/KSL): Rep. Jim Matheson (D) 53, Mia Love (R) 38

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


No comments:

Post a Comment