Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The re-emergence of the national versus state polling divide

If all you read was the state polling today, or in the past week, for that matter, you could argue that Barack Obama is doing quite well in his bid for reelection, and is well on his way to securing a second term with north of 300 electoral votes.

But, yet again, if you look at the national polling, it paints a dramatically different picture of the state of the race. And, this time, we aren't even talking solely about the Gallup and Rasmussen daily tracking polls.

That odd divergence between the two polling universes has reared its ugly head, yet again, quite clearly.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (ABC News/Washington Post): Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

NATIONAL (Reuters/Ipsos): Obama d. Romney (49-43)

NATIONAL (Zogby Analytics for the Washington Times): Romney d. Obama (43-42)

FLORIDA (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (47-46)

VIRGINIA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-42)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

WI-SEN (PPP): Eric Hovde (R) 45, Tammy Baldwin (D) 44; Baldwin 45, Tommy Thompson (D) 45; Baldwin 45, Mark Neumann (R) 41; Baldwin 46, Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 42

WI-SEN'R (PPP): Eric Hovde 31, Tommy Thompson 29, Mark Neumann 15, Jeff Fitzgerald 9

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...