Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Are there upsets in store next month in the state of Michigan?

On a rather slow start to the week, for the first time in a long time, it would be fair to say that a few downstream polls are probably of equal or greater importance than polls of the presidential affair between Mssrs. Obama and Romney.

Not that the presidential race isn't important, of course. It's just that there really isn't all that much new to say about them, based on today's data. Florida is a coinflip. Most of the other key battlegrounds are also close, as they have been for a while.

Rasmussen has Romney leading. Gallup and other pollsters don't.

If ever there was a status quo day on the White House polling front, this is it.

But two primary election polls out of the Wolverine State are drawing a lot of attention, as is another poll of what may well be among the closest House races in the nation come November.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NATIONAL (Marist for McClatchy): Obama d. Romney (48-46)

NATIONAL (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-44)

COLORADO (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (45-44)

FLORIDA (Mason Dixon): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

FLORIDA (Purple Strategies): Romney d. Obama (48-45)

OHIO (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (48-45)

VIRGINIA (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (46-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
ME-02 (Normington Petts & Associates for Michaud): Rep. Mike Michaud (D) 62, Kevin Raye (R) 30

MI-SEN'R (Practical Political Consulting): Peter Hoesktra 75, Randy Hekman 11, Clark Durant 8, Gary Glenn 6

MI-13'D (PPC for Inside Michigan Politics): Rep. John Conyers 48, Glenn Anderson 26

MI-14'D (PPC for Inside Michigan Politics): Rep. Gary Peters 41, Rep. Hansen Clarke 34

ND-GOV (Rasmussen): Gov. Jack Dalrymple (R) 61, Ryan Taylor (D) 26

PA-12 (Benenson Strategies for House Majority PAC): Rep. Mark Critz (D) 44, Keith Rothfus (R) 38

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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