Friday, July 6, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: 2010 redux for Senate Republicans?

In 2010, Senate Republicans had to be absolutely crestfallen on Election Day as they watched a trio of winnable Senate races (Delaware, Colorado and Nevada) fall by the wayside, courtesy of primary elections where the more electable Republican fell at the hands of a more ideologically pure, but less competent, candidate.

Welcome to 2012. And, one of the (few) new polls out today suggest that the same scenario may well be afoot in Wisconsin, not long after a GOP primary put Indiana from Safe R territory to a coin flip in one fell swoop.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (48-44)

NATIONAL (YouGov): Obama d. Romney (47-43)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
NC-GOV (SurveyUSA for Civitas): Pat McCrory (R) 46, Walter Dalton (D) 44, Barbara Howe (L) 7

WI-SEN'R (OnMessage for Hovde): Tommy Thompson 34, Eric Hovde 29, Mark Neumann 16, Jeff Fitzgerald 7

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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