Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The president is surprisingly strong. Or staggeringly weak.

Another quiet day on the data front today, with only a smattering of new polls. Moreover, any efforts to draw hard conclusions from today's set will be an exercise in frustration. Gallup stays consistent, while the House of Ras is behaving ... well ... much like you'd expect them to behave. One state poll looks pretty lousy for the president, while another one, quite frankly, looks too good.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (48-44)

NATIONAL (YouGov): Obama d. Romney (44-42)

MICHIGAN (Foster McCollum White/Boudoun): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NEW JERSEY (Rutgers/Eagleton): Obama d. Romney (56-33)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

WI-SEN (Rasmussen): Tommy Thompson (R) 52, Tammy Baldwin (D) 36; Mark Neumann (R) 45, Baldwin 43; Eric Hovde (R) 44, Baldwin 42; Baldwin 44, Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 43

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...