Thursday, June 7, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: A Tuesday polling post-mortem, and looking ahead to November

With a smattering of absentee/provisional ballots still being tallied in California, the November polling fired up anew today. And, in spite of the absolute deluge of "Obama is freaking doomed" headlines that poured off the page after last night, today is arguably the best polling day for the president in a month.

So, today's Wrap is partly a retrospective, and partly looking forward to what lies ahead.

But, first, on to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

NATIONAL (Pew): Obama d. Romney (49-42)

NATIONAL (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-42)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

NATIONAL (YouGov): Obama d. Romney (47-42)

CONNECTICUT (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (50-38)

FLORIDA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-46)

PENNSYLVANIA (Franklin and Marshall): Obama d. Romney (48-36)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
CT-SEN (Quinnipiac): Chris Murphy (D) 46, Linda McMahon (R) 43; McMahon 46, Susan Bysiewicz (D) 42; Murphy 45, Chris Shays (R) 37; Shays 44, Bysiewicz 40

CT-SEN'D (Quinnipiac): Chris Murphy 50, Susan Bysiewicz 20

CT-SEN'R (Quinnipiac): Linda McMahon 59, Chris Shays 30

PA-SEN (Franklin and Marshall): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 42, Tom Smith (R) 21

(2013) VA-GOV'R (Quinnipiac): Ken Cuccinelli 51, Bill Bolling 15

VA-SEN (Quinnipiac): Tim Kaine (D) 44, George Allen (R) 43

VA-SEN (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 46, George Allen (R) 44

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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