Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Gallup and Rasmussen loves them some Mitt Romney. But why?

Today, we were able to lay our eyes on some state polling of note (including one in Florida that will be music to the ears of fans of the president).

But, more notably, we also were graced with a pair of national polls (Pew and AP/GfK) that give Barack Obama a lead of either 3-4 points. On the same day, curiously, we also see the two daily tracking polls (Gallup and Rasmussen) clinging tenaciously to the notion that Mitt Romney is actually the leader, by a similarly modest margin.

What gives? I have some thoughts about that.

But, first, the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Associated Press/GfK): Obama d. Romney (47-44)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-45)

NATIONAL (Pew Research): Obama d. Romney (50-46)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-43)

FLORIDA (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (46-42)

MICHIGAN (Mitchell Research): Obama d. Romney (47-46)

NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (48-43)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

FL-SEN (Quinnipiac): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 43, Connie Mack IV (R) 39; Nelson 45, Mike McCalister (R) 34; Nelson 47, George LeMieux (R) 32; Nelson 47, Dave Weldon (R) 31

FL-SEN--R (Quinnipiac): Connie Mack IV 41, George LeMieux 8, Mike McCalister 5, Dave Weldon 3

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...