Thursday, April 26, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The Rasmussen disconnect deepens

Critiques of Rasmussen polling from the left have become something of a time-honored tradition, particularly here at Daily Kos. Today, though, it is not just a matter of them being on an island. It is a matter of them showing two politicians at equal strength in a state where, perhaps unsurprisingly, no other pollster has found them garnering the same level of support since early February.

More on that later. For now, the numbers:

(GOP) PRIMARY PRESIDENTIAL POLLING (It ... won't ... die!):

NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Romney 48, Gingrich 30, Paul 12
PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:
NATIONAL (Fox News): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (49-43)

NATIONAL (Princeton Survey Research/National Journal): Obama d. Romney (47-39)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (49-44)

ARIZONA (Behavior Research Center): Obama d. Romney (42-40)

COLORADO (Purple Strategies): Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

FLORIDA (Purple Strategies): Romney d. Obama (47-45)

NEW MEXICO (PPP): Obama d. Romney (54-40)

OHIO (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (49-44)

VIRGINIA (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (48-46)

VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (45-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
AZ-SEN (Anzalone Liszt for Carmona): Jeff Flake (R) 43, Richard Carmona (D) 39

FL-16 (Public Opinion Strategies for Buchanan): Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) 58, Keith Fitzgerald (D) 36

FL-16 (SEA Polling for Fitzgerald): Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) 49, Keith Fitzgerald (D) 38

NC-GOV'R (PPP): Pat McCrory 67, Jim Harney 3, Jim Mahan 2, Paul Wright 2, Scott Jones 1, Charles Kenneth Moss 1

TX-SEN (PPP): David Dewhurst (R) 49, Paul Sadler (D) 35; Dewhurst 50, Sean Hubbard (D) 35; Ted Cruz (R) d. Sadler (44-34); Cruz d. Hubbard (43-33); Ted Leppert (R) d. Sadler (44-33); Leppert d. Hubbard (44-34); Craig James (R) d. Sadler (40-36); James d. Hubbard (41-35)

TX-SEN--R (PPP): David Dewhurst 38, Ted Cruz 26, Tom Leppert 8, Craig James 7

WI-GOV--D (Paul Maslin for Falk): Tom Barrett 40, Kathleen Falk 32

A few thoughts, as always, await you after the jump...


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