Wednesday, July 4, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Polls continue to hint at a wash in post-SC presidential landscape

Two new state polls were released this morning, with the common thread that both of them were in the field after the Supreme Court decision on the president's signature legislative achievement (ACA) last Thursday.

And, if you put stock into them, they tell you that the Supreme Court's decision to uphold the ACA had minimal impact on the state of play in the presidential race. Put more specifically, it might have helped the president slightly in one poll, and hurt him slightly, according to the other.

Like I said, a minimal impact, at best. But that might be expected during a holiday week where most folks (except for y'all, and bless you for that) are not focused on the electoral sweepstakes just four months into the future.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (48-44)

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (48-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

FLORIDA (We Ask America'R): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA for Civitas): Romney d. Obama (50-45)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
HI-SEN'D (Benenson Strategy Group for Hirono): Mazie Hirono 53, Ed Case 38

OH-16 (Normington Petts for SEIU/House Majority PAC): Rep. Betty Sutton (D) 41, Rep. Jim Renacci (R) 38

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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