Thursday, July 12, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Firms of all partisan stripes confirm a good polling day for Obama

A couple of days ago, I wondered aloud whether or not the recent dearth in polling was solely attributable to the midweek July 4th holiday, or a larger issue involving the expense of polling and various outlets choosing to keep their powder dry until the fall.

Yeah, about that ...

Like a summer thunderstorm that just drifts over your neighborhood, consider this a deluge of electoral number goodness. More polls were released today than in the previous week. Indeed, at nearly 30 polls, this is the highest volume day in months, and one of the three highest all cycle to-date.

Suffice to say, there's a lot to digest here, so let's dive right in. On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NATIONAL (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (46-43)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

NATIONAL (YouGov): Romney d. Obama (44-43)

COLORADO (Global Strategy Group and Garin-Hart-Yang for Priorities USA'D): Obama d. Romney (49-42)

FLORIDA (Global Strategy Group and Garin-Hart-Yang for Priorities USA'D): Obama d. Romney (48-44)

MAINE (Critical Insights): Obama d. Romney (48-34)

NEW MEXICO (We Ask America'R): Obama d. Romney (51-40)

OHIO (Global Strategy Group and Garin-Hart-Yang for Priorities USA'D): Obama d. Romney (48-41)

PENNSYLVANIA (Global Strategy Group and Garin-Hart-Yang for Priorities USA'D): Obama d. Romney (49-40)

PENNSYLVANIA (We Ask America'R): Obama d. Romney (47-40)

VIRGINIA (Global Strategy Group and Garin-Hart-Yang for Priorities USA'D): Obama d. Romney (46-43)

WISCONSIN (Marquette Law School): Obama d. Romney (51-43)

WISCONSIN (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
FL-SEN (Rasmussen): Connie Mack IV (R) 46, Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 37

ME-SEN (Critical Insights): Angus King (I) 55, Charlie Summers (R) 27, Cynthia Dill (D) 7

ME-01 (Critical Insights): Rep. Chellie Pingree (D) 57, Jon Courtney (R) 31

ME-02 (Critical Insights): Rep. Michael Michaud (D) 47, Kevin Raye (R) 35

ME-MARRIAGE EQUALITY (Critical Insights): Favor 57, Oppose 35

NM-SEN (FM3'D): Martin Heinrich (D) 49, Heather Wilson (R) 45

NM-SEN (We Ask America'R): Martin Heinrich (D) 51, Heather Wilson (R) 42

NC-GOV (PPP): Pat McCrory (R) 43, Walter Dalton (D) 36, Barbara Howe (L) 9

PA-SEN (We Ask America'R): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 53, Tom Smith (R) 39

TX-SEN'R (Baselice and Associates for Dewhurst): David Dewhurst 50, Ted Cruz 42

VA-SEN (PPP): Tim Kaine (D) 46, George Allen (R) 44

WI-SEN (Marquette Law School): Tommy Thompson (R) 45, Tammy Baldwin (D) 41; Baldwin 43, Mark Neumann (R) 40; Baldwin 44, Eric Hovde (R) 38; Baldwin 43, Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 37

WI-SEN'R (Marquette Law School): Tommy Thompson 35, Eric Hovde 23, Mark Neumann 10, Jeff Fitzgerald 6

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...


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