Saturday, June 2, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: National and state polls starting to align (but not completely)

Though the sample size today is relatively small, when coupled with other polls this week it seems as if one of the most consistent themes in the 2012 election cycle is finally showing signs of dissipating. Though national polls continue to hint at a considerably closer race than state polling would suggest, there is starting to be a bit more alignment than we have seen before.

We'll look at that in more detail after the flip, but for now, here are the (comparably few) polls to peruse as we close the week:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (CNN): Obama d. Romney (49-46)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

CALIFORNIA (Field Poll): Obama d. Romney (48-32)

CALIFORNIA (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (57-36)

NEW MEXICO (FM3 for Patriot Majority): Obama d. Romney and Gary Johnson (48-35-12)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
CA-PROP 29 (SurveyUSA): Support 42, Oppose 38

CA-SEN-PRIMARY (SurveyUSA): Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D) 42, Elizabeth Emken (R) 4, Dan Hughes (R) 4, Al Ramirez (R) 4, Rick Williams (R) 4 (+)

CA-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D) 50, Elizabeth Emken (R) 34; Feinstein 52, Al Ramirez (R) 32; Feinstein 52, Dan Hughes (R) 31; Feinstein 54, Orly Taitz (R) 29

WA-01-PRIMARY (SurveyUSA): John Koster (R) 46, Darcy Burner (D) 19, Laura Ruderman (D) 6, Suzan DelBene (D) 4, Steve Hobbs (D) 4, Larry Ishmael (I) 4, Darshan Rauniyar (D) 1

WA-01 (SurveyUSA): John Koster (R) 48, Darcy Burner (D) 39; Koster 47, Steve Hobbs (D) 31; Koster 49, Suzan DelBene (D) 32; Koster 49, Laura Ruderman (D) 32; Koster 50, Darshan Rauniyar (D) 28

(+)--Over a dozen candidates scored 3 percent or less

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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