Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Marriage equality: Where next?

We had some great victories for marriage equality this November, with three states voting to legalize it and a fourth voting down a constitutional ban. Furthermore, the Supreme Court is likely to hear a case on marriage equality in the next couple of years. However, we shouldn't give up the fight for equality on the state level. To this end, I did an analysis of the path to legalization in every state Obama won this year, and divided them into three categories below the fold.

Top Targets represent our best chances for legalization and are places where we should push for legalization in the next couple of years. Reach Targets are places where legalization is very possible within the decade, but there are nevertheless substantial barriers to passage. Long Term Targets are places where there are institutional barriers to passage that are unfortunately probably insurmountable before 2020 without a Supreme Court ruling, although the way public opinion has been going on this issue, who knows.

(Continue reading below the fold.)


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