Thursday, November 15, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Mark Warner crushes in VA-Gov, but without him, it's a tossup

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' VA-Gov: Quinnipiac is out with their first post-election day look at the 2013 Virginia governor's race, which still has yet to fully take shape. They test two Democrats, 2009 candidate Terry McAuliffe (who has more-or-less announced) and Sen. Mark Warner (who doesn't seem inclined to seek his old job back), and two Republicans, Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling (the establishment pick) and AG Ken Cuccinelli (the movement conservative firebrand), who have both been actively seeking the job for quite some time.

Warner is very popular (58-20 favorables) and crushes both GOPers: Bolling 53-33 and Cuccinelli 52-34. McAuliffe, despite his earlier run, is barely known (17-13 faves), edging Bolling just 38-36 and Cuccinelli 41-37. While Cuccinelli has higher name recognition (29-24 faves) than Bolling (20-8), he's way more polarizing, with 41 percent of Democrats expressing an unfavorable view of him versus just 12 percent for Bolling. I think Dems have to hope the GOP nominates Cuccinelli for that reason. Quinnipiac apparently didn't test the Republican primary this time, but their June poll showed him with a crushing (albeit very early) 51-15 lead over Bolling.


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