Thursday, October 25, 2012

Battleground snapshot: Obama's firewall holds

U.S. President Barack Obama (C) sits between campaign volunteers Alexa Kissinger (L) and Suzanne Stern as he makes calls to local volunteers to thank them for their work from a campaign office in Williamsburg, Virginia, October 14, 2012. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Even Obama GOTVs. When we last checked in on the aggregate polling last Friday, Mitt Romney had a lead in the national polling, Florida, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Virginia. Romney had also gained in six of the remaining States That Matter. This week?

President Barack Obama has regained the lead in the national polling and New Hampshire, while clawing back lost ground in five of the nine remaining battlegrounds. However, little-polled Colorado has flipped red thanks to a single Rasmussen poll. What was a 286-252 Obama victory last week is now a 281-257 advantage. Even if Romney won the next two closest states, New Hampshire and Iowa, he would still be short 271-267.

However, Obama has stretched out his lead in hyper-important Ohio, while Virginia and Florida are essentially tied. Those Florida numbers are particularly nice, given the five-point lead Romney had last Friday.

I suspect there will be more Blue on that chart next time we check in, probably Friday. But a strong GOTV effort will be essential to grabbing all the tight states and delivering an electoral vote drubbing. So sign up to help get Democratic voters to the polls in swing states with Workers' Voice, the largest independent Democratic voter turnout operation in the country. Seriously, just do it.

I don't want a narrow victory, I want a 300+ EV victory, and we're well within reach of that.


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