Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The calm after the (Super)storm

Sandy stalled more than the political campaigns today (well, one of them, at least). After a record triple-digit poll count on Monday, today we saw releases from just 39 polls. That would be less than half of what we saw on Monday. As one might expect, nearly none of them were actually in the field on Monday. Only the SurveyUSA Ohio poll, and a couple of the tracking polls, actually culled new responses as Superstorm Sandy ravaged the eastern half of the United States.

Mostly, the narratives that have guided us for most of the past fortnight remain intact. Mitt Romney looks markedly better in national polling than in state-by-state polling. The lack of consistent movement in national polls has truly become remarkable: neither candidate has had a national polling lead of more than a percentage point in two weeks.

The state polls are still an issue for Romney, and if you buy stock in a column by consummate insider analyst Charlie Cook earlier today, the road to 270 could be very fraught with peril for the challenger.

More on that after the jump. For now, though, on to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL POLLING:

NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo Tracking): Romney 49, Obama 48

NATIONAL (CBS/New York Times): Obama 48, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 43 (RV)

NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 41 (RV)

NATIONAL (NPR): Romney 48, Obama 47

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama 49, Romney 49

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney 49, Obama 47

NATIONAL (UPI/CVoter): Obama 48, Romney 47

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CALIFORNIA (Pepperdine Univ.): Obama 56, Romney 33

COLORADO (Grove Insight for Project New America/USAction): Obama 48, Romney 45

FLORIDA (SurveyUSA): Obama 47, Romney 47

GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): Romney 52, Obama 44

MASSACHUSETTS (Suffolk University): Obama 63, Romney 31

NEVADA (Grove Insight for Project New America/USAction): Obama 49, Romney 43

NEW MEXICO (Public Opinion Strategies for the Wilson campaign): Obama 47, Romney 42, Johnson 6

NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): Romney 50, Obama 45

NORTH DAKOTA (Mason Dixon): Romney 54, Obama 40

OHIO (Grove Insight for Project New America and USAction): Obama 48, Romney 45

OHIO (SurveyUSA): Obama 48, Romney 45

OREGON (Davis Hibbits Midghall): Obama 49, Romney 42

OREGON (Elway Research for the Oregonian): Obama 47, Romney 41

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

CA-SEN (Pepperdine Univ.): Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D) 51, Elizabeth Emken (R) 32

FL-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 49, Connie Mack IV (R) 41

MA-SEN (Suffolk University): Elizabeth Warren (D) 53, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46

MN-SEN (Mason Dixon): Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) 65, Kurt Bills (R) 22

NV-SEN (Grove Insight for Project New America/USAction): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 44, Shelley Berkley (D) 43

NJ-SEN (Philadelphia Inquirer): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 50, Joe Kyrillos (R) 32

NM-SEN (GBA Strategies for the Heinrich campaign): Martin Heinrich (D) 51, Heather Wilson (R) 41, Others 6

NM-SEN (Public Opinion Strategies for the Wilson campaign): Heather Wilson (R) 44, Martin Heinrich (D) 43, Others 6

ND-SEN (Mason Dixon): Rick Berg (R) 47, Heidi Heitkamp (D) 45

OH-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 46, Josh Mandel (R) 41, Scott Rupert (I) 3

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NC-GOV (SurveyUSA): Pat McCrory (R) 53, Walter Dalton (D) 36, Barbara Howe (L) 5

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CA-36 (Lake Research Partners for the Ruiz campaign): Raul Ruiz (D) 48, Rep. Mary Bono Mack (R) 42

NV-04 (SurveyUSA): Danny Tarkanian (R) 47, Steven Horsford (D) 42

NM-01 (Albuquerque Journal): Michelle Lujan-Grisham (D) 51, Janice Arnold-Jones (R) 36

NM-02 (Albuquerque Journal): Rep. Steven Pearce (R) 56, Evelyn Madrid Ehrhard (D) 38

NM-03 (Albuquerque Journal): Rep. Ben Ray Lujan (D) 53, Jefferson Byrd (R) 35

NY-19 (Siena): Rep. Chris Gibson (R) 48, Julian Schreibman (D) 43

ND-AL (Mason Dixon): Kevin Cramer (R) 50, Pam Gulleson (D) 40

RI-01 (Fleming and Associates): Rep. David Cicilline (D) 42, Brendan Doherty (R) 41, David Vogel (I) 6

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...