Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Remember how 'you didn't build this' and Bain attacks would doom Obama?

Cory Booker:

Newark Mayor Cory Booker, a surrogate for the Obama campaign, called efforts by that campaign to attack Mitt Romney on his private equity career "nauseating."

"This kind of stuff is nauseating to me on both sides," he said on Meet the Press. "It's nauseating to the American public. Enough is enough. Stop attacking private equity. Stop attacking Jeremiah Wright. This stuff has got to stop."

Bill Clinton:
'I think he had a good business career,' he said of Romney, when queried about Bain. He also called Mitt's record 'sterling', adding 'So I don't think that we ought to get into the position where we say this is bad work. This is good work.'
So have the Obama campaign's attacks on Bain actually been a bad thing? Um, no:
You can see the trends. While focusing almost entirely on Romney's business background (between Bain and Romney's taxes) Pres. Barack Obama has gone from 47 percent in the TPM poll national composite on June 1, to 48.1 at the end of July. So not only was Obama not penalized for his Bain attacks, but also remains unharmed by Romney's ridiculous "you didn't build that" nonsense.

To be sure, Romney has also crept up as he continues to rally his base. After months of hating on their nominee, base conservatives are thrilled with Romney's claim that Obama is foreign and doesn't know what it's like to be American (hint: it has something to do with eating "cheesy" grits). Check out his favorabilities among conservatives in the Daily Kos/SEIU weekly polling (brown line is favorable, orange line is unfavorable):

Daily Kos/SEIU polling trends showing Romney getting more popular with conservatives in July. On 7/19, 66 percent of conservatives had a favorable view of Romney. On 7/26, it was 74 percent. They're eating that birther-lite shit up!

Of course, it's kind of pathetic that Romney is still trying to solidify his base in freakin' August. (In the same polling, Obama has 85 percent favorability among liberals, and it has been that high pretty much all year.) Thus, rather than moving toward the political center, Romney's crazy talk is just pushing him further out from the American mainstream. Per the Daily Kos/SEIU polling,  Romney's favorables among political moderates fell from 31 percent to 25 percent between 7/19 and 7/26. Ouch.

And that's the national polling, which isn't directly relevant to electing our president. Obama's advantages are much larger in the States That Matter like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida.

So for those who thought Obama's focus on Bain would hurt him, you were wrong. And it was obvious from the beginning that you were wrong.

For those Republicans who thought that "you didn't build that" hackery would hurt Obama, well, you were wrong. Although at this point I'm convinced that nonsense has less to do with trying to win the election and more to do with pissing off liberals. We all know how important it is for conservatives to annoy liberals (Chick-fil-A!). So, um, good for you! I hope you keep confusing insipid taunts for an actual national campaign.

And for those billionaires spending tens of millions to try and destroy Obama, well, how does it feel to piss away all that money?


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