Sunday, June 24, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Weekend Digest: A data point for every meme!

Another week has passed in the 2012 campaign cycle, and this was a week where a lot of things were made absolutely clear for us:

  • President Obama and Mitt Romney are locked in a coin flip battle for the White House.

    (OR ... Obama is really up by 13 freaking points.)

  • Florida Republican Sen. Marco Rubio is not being vetted as a potential vice-presidential nominee of the GOP.

    (OR ... maybe he is being vetted, after all.)

  • Former Democratic Sen. Bob Kerrey is in deep trouble as he tries to hold the Democratic open seat in Nebraska, according to a GOP pollster.

    (OR ... actually ... a Democratic pollster had the same thing, too. But they did have reasonably good news for Barack Obama. So, y'know, there's that.)

Suffice to say, this was yet another week where trying to construct a consistent narrative about the state of the 2012 campaign proved a tad tricky. And while that is not as unusual as you might think less than five months out before an election, it is nevertheless kind of exasperating.

Do we know any more than we did a week ago? Not really, except that there seems to be an accumulating amount of evidence to suggest that there are quite a few more tossup races lying around than many in the pundit class are willing to admit, both at the presidential level and downballot. Data from places as politically diverse as Arizona, Montana, and Florida bear that out this week.

All this (and more!) in the "summer's here ... officially" edition of the Weekend Digest ...


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