Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Surprise! PPP and the House of Ras disagree on state of election

If you've followed the polls over the last couple of days, you might be tempted to sing a chorus of "Me and My Shadow." In real time, you see, PPP has released polls within days (or, in today's case, hours) of a new Rasmussen poll. It happened in North Carolina, and it happened in Colorado.

And, not surprisingly, the two firms came up with very contrary results. As in, high single digits of variance between the two pollsters. This will undoubtedly leave some on the Right to conclude that PPP is trying to jump in and change perceptions before Rasmussen's decent numbers for Mitt Romney can take hold.

However, I think this is one of those cases where the appearance is counter to the reality. I think either (a) the timing is coincidental, or (b) it is the House of Ras that is chasing PPP and trying to muddy perceptions about the state of play. My reasoning for this is actually pretty simple, and I will share it after the jump.

But, first, on to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

NATIONAL (PPP): Obama d. Romney (48-46)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-45)

COLORADO (PPP): Obama d. Romney (49-43)

COLORADO (Rasmussen): Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (49-46)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

HI-SEN'D (Benenson Strategies for Hirono): Mazie Hirono 50, Ed Case 33

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...