Friday, August 3, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Trackers see a coin flip, Pew sees a rout

Once again, Thursday provides us with "choose your own meme" day on the data front. If you are a devotee of Mitt Romney (and if you are, and reading this, you are presumably lost right now on the internets, or slightly masochistic), you will (yet again) point to Rasmussen as proof that all is well. Democrats, meanwhile, will be saving all their love for Pew.

On a comparably light Thursday (at least, when compared to the deluge of polls that have greeted us thus far this week), there's a poll for every narrative.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-45)

NATIONAL (Pew): Obama d. Romney (51-41)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-44)

NEW JERSEY (Fairleigh Dickinson): Obama d. Romney (49-36)

NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (49-44)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
CA-09 (Tarrance Group for Gill/NRCC): Rep. Jerry McNerney (D) 47, Ricky Gill (R) 45

LA-03 (Public Opinion Strategies for Boustany): Rep. Charles Boustany (R) 56, Rep. Jeff Landry (R) 20, "Fred Green" (D) 15; Boustany 61, Landry 23

MI-06'R (EPIC-MRA): Rep. Fred Upton 61, Jack Hoogendyk 31

MI-11'R (EPIC-MRA): Nancy Cassis 52, Kerry Bentvolio 36; "Someone Else" 40, Bentvolio 21

MO-GOV (Mason Dixon): Gov. Jay Nixon (D) 48, Dave Spence (R) 39; Nixon 50, Bill Randles (R) 35

MO-GOV'R (Mason Dixon): Dave Spence 41, Bill Randles 15, John Weiler 3, Fred Sauers 1

NJ-SEN (Fairleigh Dickinson): Sen. Bob Menendez (D) 45, Joe Kyrillos (R) 33

NY-18 (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for House Majority PAC/SEIU): Rep. Nan Hayworth (R) 48, Sean Patrick Maloney (D) 45

NY-21 (Anzalone-Liszt for the DCCC): Rep. Bill Owens (D) 50, Matt Doheny (R) 38, Donald Hassig (G) 4

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


No comments:

Post a Comment