Friday, August 31, 2012

2012 GOP convention live, thread #13: Lyin', damn lyin' and Romney-Ryan

Republican National Convention: The race to the bottom Watch live video here and join the conversation as we live blog the 2012 GOP convention.

8:15 PM PT: Mitt Romney just finished. Paul Ryan has taken the stage, assuring his Mr. Bain that he did a wonderful job with his speech. Now balloons are falling from the rafters. The big question: Will Clint Eastwood take the stage?

8:20 PM PT: I think Romney's speech was awful. I'm not just saying that. I thought he went on way, way too long about his personal history, and did it in a way that nobody really will care about. He basically dodged any serious discussion of how to grow the economy, but yet managed to rattle an alarming number of sabers. And his mocking of climate change was inexcusable. Of course, who cares, because: Clint Eastwood, man.

8:20 PM PT: This is the part of Saturday Night Live where they know the last act SUCKED, but everyone get on stage and act happy.
— @HunterDK via TweetDeck 8:21 PM PT: Clint Eastwood on the phone with Obama now: "It all went according to plan, my lord." #RNC
— @EliBraden via Echofon


2012 GOP convention live, thread #4: Lyin', damn lyin' and Romney-Ryan

Republican National Convention: The race to the bottom Watch live video here and join the conversation as we live blog the 2012 GOP convention.

5:42 PM PT: A couple whose son died of cancer as a teenager and was treated kindly by Mitt Romney is speaking now. Message: Mitt's human.

5:45 PM PT: Another LDS churchgoer tells another story about how Mitt, as Bishop, offered support in the midst of tragedy.

5:49 PM PT: Bill O'Reilly, after the last speech: "Alright, well, there's the personal story of the evening. Now let's get back to politics!"

5:51 PM PT: The next speaker at the convention is named Bob White. Just saying.

5:52 PM PT: Bob White is Romney's campaign Chairman and says he helped Mr. Bain start Bain Capital. Message: Bain is a great American success story and nobody ever got hurt by the company and you are a communist if you disagree.

5:52 PM PT: Okay, what White is really saying is that people within Bain were supposed to be loyal to each other.

5:54 PM PT: Okay, you know, I'm glad that Mitt had friends. But really, these friends are just confirming everything I ever thought about him.

5:55 PM PT: Wow, they are making Mitt "saving" Bain & Co. an issue. He saved it with a Federal bailout, and he did it in the scummiest way possible. You must read this.

5:55 PM PT: Oh, and Mitt got the biggest federal bailout ever given to any Olympics, ever. Because leadership.
— @HunterDK via TweetDeck

6:04 PM PT (Kaili Joy Gray): New thread here.


2012 GOP convention live, thread #8: Lyin', damn lyin' and Romney-Ryan

Republican National Convention: The race to the bottom Watch live video here and join the conversation as we live blog the 2012 GOP convention.

7:11 PM PT: There's a method to Eastwood's madness, and the GOP audience sure is loving this, but I can't imagine this plays well with people who aren't already for Romney. It almost has a Palinesque feel to it.


7:12 PM PT: Buzzfeed will have 30 GIFs with things in Clint Eastwood's chair tomorrow

' @AntDeRosa via TweetDeck 7:13 PM PT: Clint Eastwood; I hate lawyers and politicians. And now: here's Mitt Romney!!!!

' @chrislhayes via web 7:13 PM PT: Clint Eastwood deserves about 50 million Oscars for this portrayal of the average Republican voter.

' @HunterDK via TweetDeck 7:14 PM PT: Romney aides rapidly cutting Rubio's speech so that Romney doesn't get pushed too late into the nighâ'¦.

' @politicalwire via Twitter for Mac

7:15 PM PT: Andrea Mitchell: "Exceedingly strange." Brian Williams: "Um, uh."

7:16 PM PT: And now Marco Rubio has taken the stage after that weirdness.


7:16 PM PT: What the heck IS this?

' @davidaxelrod via Twitter for iPhone

7:17 PM PT: Eastwood was a brilliant move by the Obama campaign.

7:19 PM PT: LOL:

Eastwood performance will break through by the sheer force of its utter bizareness

' @RichLowry via Mobile Web Perhaps, but if it breaks through, it won't be good news for the GOP. Eastwood's routine wasn't that bad ... if you're a rabid Republican partisan. But if you're not, it came across as petty and weird.

7:20 PM PT: BTW, I don't think anyone is even listening to Marco Rubio now. Instead, just contemplating WTF Romneyland was thinking when they put Eastwood up there to do that.


7:20 PM PT: ...

' @InvisibleObama via web

7:21 PM PT: Clint Eastwood just delivered a hammer blow to Marco Rubio's dream of delivering a memorable speech.


7:23 PM PT: There is a reason conventions are scripted. Clint's empty chair act weirdest convention moment I have ever seen.
— @HowardKurtz via Twitterrific 7:24 PM PT: It doesn't matter what Rubio or Romney says now. All anyone will talk about tomorrow is Eastwood. Holy balls. #GOP2012
— @beardedstoner via web 7:25 PM PT: That screaming you hear backstage is poor Clint, when they told him Mitt wants U.S.  to stay in Afghanistan INDEFINITELY.
— @davidaxelrod via Twitter for iPhone 7:25 PM PT: Mitt Romney's big night, and he got upstaged by an empty chair.
— @KailiJoy via web 7:26 PM PT: Unfortunately, Clint Eastwood really did think Obama was sitting next to him.
— @politicoroger via web 7:27 PM PT: Asked for #eastwood reaction, Romney camp only says - It was ad-libbed
— @Sarah_Boxer via TweetDeck 7:28 PM PT: My question is: why did invisible Obama agree to sit there?
— @timheidecker via Twitter for iPhone Are you kidding? Brilliant decision!

7:29 PM PT: The audience is on its feet for something said by the guy who spoke after the guy who spoke to the chair.

7:29 PM PT: Okay, I'll ask it: Is the Eastwood speech a preview of the kind of thing we should expect from a Romney adminstration?

7:31 PM PT: So, Marco Rubio doesn't seem to give a damn that he's pushing Romney's speech past 10:30 PM ET.

7:33 PM PT (Kaili Joy Gray): New thread here.


Mitt Romney's empty speech

For my money, the most entertaining video clip from last night's clown show in Tampa was the stunned reactions of NBC Nightly News anchor Brian Williams and Andrea Mitchell after Clint Eastwood all but told President Obama to go ** himself while interviewing an empty chair:

But while Clint Eastwood may have stolen the show by attempting to interview an empty chair, the emptiest thing on stage last night was Mitt Romney's speech. The first half of his speech was basically a list of things Romney wishes were on Wikipedia page, but notably absent was any discussion of his record as governor. Romney did brag about having tapped a female to be his lieutenant governor and chief of staff, but there was nothing more than that'no mention of Romneycare, no mention of his jobs record (he was 47th out of 50 states in job creation, so it's hard to blame him for that).

Romney's speech didn't just sanitize his political and business careers, it also sanitized his policy proposals. In the more than 4,000 words in his speech, he offered virtually no specifics on the central issue of this campaign: how to grow the American economy. Aside from self-serving platitudes like "in America, we celebrate success'we don't apologize for success," here is grand total of what Romney said on the topic:

I have a plan to create 12 million new jobs. Paul Ryan and I have five steps. First, by 2020, North America will be an energy independent by taking invented of our oil, are coal, our gas, our nuclear, and renewables. Second, we will give our fellow citizens the skills they need for the jobs of today and the careers of tomorrow.  When it comes to the school your child will attend, every parent should have a choice, and every child should have a chance. Third, we will make trade work for America by forging new trade agreements, and when nations cheat in trade, there will be unmistakable consequences. And fourth, to assure every entrepreneur and every job creator that their investments in America will not vanish, as have those in Greece.  We will cut the deficit and put America on track to a balanced budget. And fifth, we will champion small businesses, America's engine of job growth.  That means reducing taxes on business, not raising them.  It means simplifying and modernizing the regulations that hurt small businesses the most, and it means we must rein in skyrocketing cost of health care by repealing and replacing Obamacare.
Even that was impossibly vague. He wants to replace Obamacare? Okay, but with what? He wants to be energy independent by 2020? Okay, how? He wants to maintain confidence in the stability of American investments? Alright, how? There will be consequences for nations that break trade agreements? Okay, name some. He'll give Americans the skills they need to get a good job? Great idea ... please, tell us more. (And by the way, does that mean Mitt Romney blames American skills for slow economic growth?)

Romney followed up those five points with the most specific policy promises in his entire speech, though two of the three had nothing to do with the economy, and the passage as a whole featured one of the strangest non-sequitors I've ever seen in a speech like this.

Today women are more likely than men to start of business. They need a president who respect and understand what they do. And let me make this clear.  Unlike President Obama, I will not raise taxes on the middle class of America. As president, I'll respect the sanctity of life.  I'll honor the institution of marriage.
That's really an amazing jumble of words. Romney goes from claiming women are more active in business creation than men to pledging not to raise taxes on the middle class to pledging to be "pro-life" to pledging to be anti-gay marriage. Even if you didn't know that Romney's tax plan would raise taxes on the middle class (or explode the deficit) and even if you didn't know that Romney had just said abortion was a settled issue and that it shouldn't be in the political campaign, this was a real head-scratching portion of his speech'why in the world would he include a call to respect women, a pledge to not raise taxes, a pledge to repeal Roe v. Wade, and a pledge to oppose gay marriage all in the space of 56 words? It really was just weird.

On foreign policy, the speech was no better. Romney thanked President Obama for getting Osama bin Laden, but lambasted him for allegedly apologizing for America. Yeah, I'm sure bin Laden took that apology real well. Romney hinted that he wanted to go to war over Iran, but he completely avoided discussion of Afghanistan, the one war in which we are currently embroiled.

Compare Romney's speech with President Obama's 2008 convention speech. President Obama's speech was longer, by about 600 words, but it also was less about him. Romney's speech dwelled ad nauseum on his own personal biography; Obama also talked about his personal story, but spent much less time on it. Instead, the speech was about us, and what kind of country we want to be. And his speech wasn't just about principles'it was about specifics. Whether it was health care reform, getting Osama bin Laden, developing alternative energy, or expanding educational opportunity, then-Senator Obama talked about what he wanted to accomplish and how he wanted to accomplish it. In that important sense, his speech was dramatically different from Mitt Romney's.

Perhaps the most revealing line from Mitt Romney last night was this:

This isn't something we have to accept.  Now is the moment when we can do something.  And with your help, we will do something.
Yes, we need to do something. But what might that something be? Well, Mitt Romney doesn't want to tell you. Because he's afraid it might hurt his campaign. And you can't blame him for that, can you? After all, he's running for office, for Pete's sake.


Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Romney's empty speech upstaged by Eastwood's empty chair

Visual source: Newseum

From a campaign's perspective, the goal of a party convention is to generate as much positive press for your presidential ticket as possible. That's why you have speaker after speaker take to the stage to share warm memories of your candidate's kind-heartedness. It's why you put together elegant bigraphical videos. In other words, the whole point of a party convention from a media perspective is to trigger a news cycle during which pundits will write in awe about what a fantastic job your party has done "introducing" or selling the party nominee to the American public.

You do not want post-speech ink to be wasted writing about an empty chair.

And yet, Clint Eastwood's "wait, what? is he really talking to an empty chair?" one-man play last night stole some much-needed morning after spotlight from Mitt Romney's speech. Given the blandness of Romney's speech, however, maybe it was the for better.  

First...about that chair.

In case you missed the side-splitting analysis from Kos last night:

At first, people tried to work out why the old mumbly guy was hearing voices in his head. But it wasn't his head, it was, uh the chair, which wasn't much better. But wait, this could turn out genuinely funny. It was, after all, Clinton Fucking Eastwood! So for about three minutes, it was debatable how things might turn out. But then it was no longer debatable, as minute after interminable minute passed no coherent point or end in sight and people remembered that Clint Fucking Eastwood isn't supposed to be funny! I mean, actual quote:
Do you just - you know - I know - people were wondering - you don't - handle that OK.
So of course, we were rolling in laughter. And Team Romney spent the time during Mitt Romney's speech sending out statements trying to spin their way out of their self-induced Clint Eastwood mess.
Annie Colbert at Mashable:
Eastwood's ten-minute conversation with an 'invisible Obama' had social media buzzing and meme generators working overtime.

Despite rousing speeches from Florida senator Marco Rubio and GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney, Twitter, Tumblr and Facebook could not stop talking about Eastwood's exchange with the chair.

The speech ' or stand-up sketch? ' even inspired a Twitter account with the handle @InvisibleObama. Within an hour of its creation, the account had more than 20,000 followers.

(@InvisibleObama has over 38,000 followers as of this morning.)

If Eastwood's speech was the pinnacle of absurdity and bizareness, Romney's was the height of blandness.

Ezra Klein:

We heard precious little about Mitt Romney's plans for the country. By my count, Barack Obama's 2008 convention speech spent 768 words describing his domestic and economic policies. Romney's speech spent 260 words. There was almost no mention ' and absolutely no description ' of his budget, tax, health care or Medicare plans.
Nate Silver:
Based on his prepared remarks, the term that Mr. Romney used most often in the speech was America, which he said 53 times.

The next most common word? Americans, which he said 35 times. Other terms that Mr. Romney used at least 10 times in the speech included jobs, better, future, business ' and mom and dad.[...] But Mr. Romney uttered the word Medicare just once. He never used the terms Social Security, welfare, or entitlement.

He never mentioned Iraq or Afghanistan, nor did he use the term terrorism, although he did refer to the mission that killed Osama bin Laden. [...] Mr. Romney only once mentioned his tenure as governor of Massachusetts, and then only to describe how he had chosen a woman as his Lieutenant Governor and appointed women to key cabinet positions. [...]

Instead, Mr. Romney's strategy was pretty clear. He was seeking to fulfill the role of the generic Republican ' a safe and unobjectionable alternative with a nice family and a nice career ' and whose main credential is that he is not Mr. Obama, the Democratic president with tepid approval ratings and middling economic numbers.

It may be a smart approach.

Over at The New York Times, Frank Bruni argues that the attempt to "humanize" Romney, fine for convention theater, isn't how Romney's going to win this election:
He's probably never going to match Obama's likeability. He's definitely never going to match the historic arc and emotional resonance of Obama's political career, one that validated the American dream in a special way and suggested crucial progress in racial reconciliation. And he's unlikely to persuade Americans that he's better connected to their everyday problems, not with his offshore accounts and off-kilter way of talking about his wealth.

'Humanization' isn't Romney's path to victory. A few more disappointing jobs reports are.

Romney promised in his speech last night to create 12 million jobs, a promise that is as empty as Eastwood's chair given that Romney failed to present any strategy that would lead to any job growth over the short-term. People need jobs now, and if the theme of Romney's fall campaign is really to be "jobs, jobs , jobs", then he'll need to do a lot better than offering up platitudes and debunked claims that less regulation will magically stimulate America's private sector to create millions jobs.

Jonathan Bernstein at The Washington Post looks at how Romney tried to present a version of the GOP that may be more palatable to the public:

The theme, instead, was to appeal to those who might vote for Republicans but had one of two hesitations: either that they really like Barack Obama and had warm feelings for the 2008 campaign; or that they would vote Republican but were fed up with the parade of failures and crazies, from George W. Bush to some of the wackier Tea Party candidates, who have been the faces of the party for the last decade. For the former, frequent reminders of 2008 accompanied by a more-in-sorrow-than-anger regret that Obama just didn't work out. For the latter, a parade of normal people, mostly talking about how they or their parents or their grandparents had moved up from nothing to make it in America.

Both of those themes showed up in Romney's speech tonight, and while he's not capable of really making them soar ' and, again, the structure of the thing failed to really bring it out very well anyway ' they were probably good enough. Not that it means that Romney will necessarily win, but it does probably mean that he will get what he could coming out of the convention, moving a bit closer to achieving whatever the fundamentals of the contest would predict.

A generic speech and a generic convention for a generic Republican candidate.

E.J. Dionne, also at The Washington Post:
Speaking a few hours before Romney's address, Andrew Kohut, head of the Pew research Center, said the surveys pointed to three imperatives for Romney: He had to make himself 'more likeable, more credible and more empathetic.'

Thus the unusual amount of detail Romney provided about his family, complete with missing the 'pile of kids' who would appear in his bedroom. Thus the long narrative about Bain Capital, aimed at changing the impression of a heartless business past that has reduced Romney's appeal to blue collar voters. Such voters do not celebrate investors and employers with the same ebullience that greeted every mention of the private sector at this convention. The burden of having to telling his personal story fell heavily on this speech: It took up space and time and left the speech very thin on ideas and policy.

The Washington Post Editorial Board:
But Mr. Romney mostly repeated his five rather vague priorities for fixing the economy, adding little meat to the gauziness of past declarations. There was nostalgia for an earlier era of greater American confidence, without much detail about how to achieve a restoration. Promising to begin his presidency 'with a jobs tour' ' and jabbing, inaccurately, at Mr. Obama for starting his with an 'apology tour' ' is not a substitute for a serious policy.

Mr. Romney presented himself more as an empathetic manager than an ideological visionary. He mocked Mr. Obama's grand claims with a direct and appealing promise 'to help you and your family.' But this was not a speech in which he demonstrated how he would do so. He made no mention of the tough love and hard budget choices that earlier convention speakers had touted as central to the Republican plan. His argument against Mr. Obama was stronger than his pitch for himself.

Meanwhile, The New York Times Editorial Board takes Romney to task for his lies and his lack of any foreign policy substance:

Mr. Romney's big speech, delivered in a treacly tone with a strange misty smile on his face suggesting he was always about to burst into tears, was of a piece with the rest of the convention. Republicans have offered precious little of substance but a lot of bromides ('A free world is a more peaceful world!') meant to convey profundity and take passive-aggressive digs at President Obama. But no subjects have received less attention, or been treated with less honesty, than foreign affairs and national security ' and Mr. Romney's banal speech was no exception.

It's easy to understand why the Republicans have steered clear of these areas. While President Obama is vulnerable on some domestic issues, the Republicans have no purchase on foreign and security policy. In a television interview on Wednesday, Condoleezza Rice, the former secretary of state, could not name an area in which Mr. Obama had failed on foreign policy.

For decades, the Republicans were able to present themselves as the tougher party on foreign and military policy. Mr. Obama has robbed them of that by being aggressive on counterterrorism and by flexing military and diplomatic muscle repeatedly and effectively.

John Cassidy at The New Yorker:
[P]arty acceptance speeches aren't primarily about detailed policy proposals or engaging in the debate between Keynesian economics and austerity economics. For somebody like Romney, who is challenging an incumbent with pretty low approval ratings, they are about trying to persuade the country that you are an able and honest fellow who wouldn't be overawed by the Presidency. With the aid of some plausible-sounding character witnesses and some typically slick G.O.P. infomercials, Romney did what he had to do. Unfortunately for him, the only thing that most people will remember about it is the jarring picture of a frail-looking American screen legend, his hair askew, standing and talking in a halting voice to an empty chair.
Jay Bookman at The Atlanta Journal Constitution sums up most of the pundit reaction to Romney's speech in his one word lede:
Meh.
You can read the full text of Mitt Romney's speech here.

You can catch up on the Daily Kos liveblog threads from last night starting here.

And you can get your morning laughter in by watching Clint Eastwood's empty chair speech here. For hilarious photos of the "Eastwooding" social media meme, click here.


RNC nightcap (Clint Eastwood and nothing else mattered)

I can honestly say that we've never laughed as hard at Daily Kos HQ as we did tonight.

We didn't laugh as hard during Herman Cain's press conference where he led with the attorney providing the legalistic definition of sexual harassment. And that was really funny. Nor did we laugh as hard during Rick Perry's "oops" debate moment, when he forgot which third government agency he would cut. We didn't even laugh as hard every time Marcus Bachmann came up, no matter the context.

None of those things could touch Clint Eastwood's RNC moment. And to think, I was orginally bummed when I found out the mystery guest wouldn't be a zombie Reagan hologram!

It was so defining a moment, in fact, that Beltway politicians were still tweeting about it well into Sen. Marco Rubio's speech. Sure, some 2016 hopeful was on the stage, but OMG did you see that chair thing!

But this wasn't just funny. It was instructive of the quality of Mitt Romney's campaign. Just think of everything that had to happen to deliver us tonight's disaster:

  • Republicans started buzzing about their "secret guest" on Monday, if not earlier. That means they had four days to help Clint write a speech and, you know, vet it. They didn't.
  • They then spent four days building up the hype about their super duper awesome secret guest. A joke that it would be a zombie Reagan hologram soon got a life of its own, and rumors abounded that yes, it would be Reagan! But no matter what, Clint Eastwood was never going to live up to the hype. He's cool, but this is a political convention, not a Comedy Central roast. There was palpable letdown when he was announced.
  • Did they read Clint Eastwood's latest hits? Pro-gay marriage, pro-choice, cut and ad celebrating the auto bailout for the Super Bowl, and someone quoted as saying he didn't believe in the modern Republican Party. So if nothing else, it provided snark fodder all day.
  • Here's the big one -- the campaign obviously spent big bucks putting together a super effective and beautifully done biographical mini-documentary on Romney's early years. The guy has had a terrible job selling his personal story because he's got none. Some video director moved heaven and earth to make the guy seem almost compelling -- a great introduction to people who haven't been tuned in to the race until now. And ... they run it before the networks cut in. Sure, the folks at Fox and CSPAN saw it, but they already know whether they like Romney or not.
  • No one felt compelled to lend Clint a comb?
  • Bumping their pretty bio piece for Clint might have worked if the campaign knew what they were getting. He's a big star, a Hollywood legend. Convention ratings have been downright atrocious for this convention (40+ million saw Sarah Palin speak, 22 million saw Paul Ryan). Clearly, schedulers hoped that having a big time celebrity lead the coverage would keep people watching. But conventions are scripted for a reason. Or put another way, people aren't allowed to ad-lib because if they do ... well, you know.

At first, people tried to work out why the old mumbly guy was hearing voices in his head. But it wasn't his head, it was, uh the chair, which wasn't much better. But wait, this could turn out genuinely funny. It was, after all, Clinton Fucking Eastwood! So for about three minutes, it was debatable how things might turn out. But then it was no longer debatable, as minute after interminable minute passed no coherent point or end in sight and people remembered that Clint Fucking Eastwood isn't supposed to be funny! I mean, actual quote:

Do you just - you know - I know - people were wondering - you don't - handle that OK.
So of course, we were rolling in laughter. And Team Romney spent the time during Mitt Romney's speech sending out statements trying to spin their way out of their self-induced Clint Eastwood mess.

Maybe Clint had seriously given up on the GOP and this was all a scheme to undermine Mitt Romney's candidacy. If so, brilliant work! Much better than the lame Code Pink disruptions. Or maybe this was a clever ploy to make conservatives hate Hollywood even more.

But nope. It was merely rank incompetence.

Expect some bump in the polling. Candidates always get one after their conventions. But it won't be the 11 points Romney's campaign was hoping for. And it certainly won't survive next week's Democratic festivities in Charlotte.

As for Mitt Romney's speech, beats the heck out of me. I was too busy laughing at empty chair jokes to pay attention.

Update: Perfect.

Tweet from Obama campaign: "This seat's taken", with behind picture of Obama sitting in White House chair.


2012 GOP convention live, thread #9: Lyin', damn lyin' and Romney-Ryan

Republican National Convention: The race to the bottom Watch live video here and join the conversation as we live blog the 2012 GOP convention.

7:34 PM PT: Here comes Mitt Romney, Rubio is done. Rubio, I think, had a slip-up at the end of his speech, accidentally saying: "We chose more government over freedom." Romney is making his way towards the podium, shaking hands with delegate.

7:36 PM PT: Romney is now at the podium. The empty chair is gone.

7:37 PM PT: BREAKING: Mitt Romney accepts the GOP's nomination for POTUS. More at 11.

7:37 PM PT: Re: Eastwood -- one of the running themes of Romney's entire yearlong campaign is how it has blown some very easy layups
— @mmurraypolitics via web Examples: the Ford Field speech in Detroit, the gaffes before/after the NH primary, criticizing the London Olympics, and now Eastwood
— @mmurraypolitics via web

7:38 PM PT: After Eastwood, Romneyland will say of Ford Field: "Those were the days."

7:39 PM PT: Romney stumbles over his comeback to Ryan's iPod jab, rushing his delivery and mispronouncing "playlist."

7:40 PM PT: Mitt is smacking his lips. It's a really unattractive trait.

7:42 PM PT (Kaili Joy Gray): New thread here.