As if anyone needed more evidence that the 2012 election cycle was headed into the final few meters of the marathon, check this stat out: with more polls to come on Monday, we have logged a grand total of 132 polls to the 2012 database. And that is in roughly 48 hours, since the power issues back in NYC delayed the Wrap on Friday until approximately this time in the evening. With such a mountain of data, it is easier than normal to draw conclusions. And, by and large, it is hard for Democrats not to be encouraged by the avalanche of numbers cascading down this weekend.
For the first time in a long time, there is a semi-consensus in the national polls, and it is good news for the incumbent. Despite some wildly variable individual polling in the state surveys, the critical mass of data points to a considerably easier path to 270 electoral votes for President Obama than it does for Mitt Romney.
More on that topic after the jump. For now, though, on to the numbers:
PRESIDENTIAL POLLING:
NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo Tracking): Obama 49, Romney 48DOWNBALLOT POLLING:NATIONAL (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 49, Romney 49 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 48 (RV)
NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama 48, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 42(RV)
NATIONAL (NBC/Wall Street Journal): Obama 48, Romney 47
NATIONAL (Pew): Obama 48, Romney 45 (Obama 50, Romney 47 with undecideds allocated)
NATIONAL (Politico/GWU Battleground): Obama 48, Romney 48
NATIONAL (PPP Tracking): Obama 50, Romney 47
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama 48, Romney 48
NATIONAL (USA Today/Gallup): Obama 50, Romney 46 (RV only)
NATIONAL (YouGov): Obama 49, Romney 47
ARIZONA (PPP): Romney 53, Obama 46
ARIZONA (YouGov): Romney 52, Obama 44
CALIFORNIA (YouGov): Obama 55, Romney 40
COLORADO (Ipsos-Reuters): Romney 48, Obama 48 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 42 (RV)
COLORADO (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 47
CONNECTICUT (YouGov): Obama 54, Romney 39
FLORIDA (Ipsos-Reuters): Obama 46, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 47, Romney 44 (RV)
FLORIDA (Mellman Group for Americans United For Change): Obama 47, Romney 45
FLORIDA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 49, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 46 (RV)
FLORIDA (Mason Dixon): Romney 51, Obama 45
FLORIDA (YouGov): Romney 48, Obama 47
GEORGIA (YouGov): Romney 52, Obama 44
ILLINOIS (YouGov): Obama 57, Romney 38
INDIANA (YouGov): Romney 51, Obama 44
IOWA (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 48
IOWA (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 47
IOWA (Des Moines Register): Obama 47, Romney 42
IOWA (Grove Insight for Project New America/USAction): Obama 47, Romney 44
MAINE (Critical Insights): Obama 49, Romney 42
MARYLAND (YouGov): Obama 59, Romney 37
MASSACHUSETTS (Univ. of Mass-Lowell): Obama 57, Romney 37
MASSACHUSETTS (Western New England College): Obama 58, Romney 40
MASSACHUSETTS (YouGov): Obama 57, Romney 37
MICHIGAN (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Romney 47, Obama 46
MICHIGAN (PPP): Obama 52, Romney 46
MICHIGAN (YouGov): Obama 51, Romney 44
MINNESOTA (NMB Research--R): Romney 46, Obama 45
MINNESOTA (PPP): Obama 53, Romney 45
MINNESOTA (YouGov): Obama 50, Romney 43
MISSOURI (PPP): Romney 53, Obama 45
MISSOURI (YouGov): Romney 53, Obama 42
MONTANA (Mason Dixon): Romney 53, Obama 43
MONTANA (PPP): Romney 52, Obama 45
MONTANA (Rasmussen): Romney 53, Obama 43
NEVADA (YouGov): Obama 49, Romney 45
NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 48
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Univ. of New Hampshire): Obama 48, Romney 48
NEW HAMPSHIRE (YouGov): Obama 47, Romney 43
NEW JERSEY (YouGov): Obama 53, Romney 41
NEW MEXICO (Public Opinion Strategies for the Wilson campaign): Obama 49, Romney 41, Johnson 6
NEW MEXICO (YouGov): Obama 49, Romney 43
NEW YORK (YouGov): Obama 59, Romney 36
NORTH CAROLINA (YouGov): Romney 49, Obama 47
OHIO (Columbus Dispatch): Obama 50, Romney 48
OHIO (Grove Insight for Project New America/USAction): Obama 49, Romney 45
OHIO (Ipsos-Reuters): Obama 48, Romney 44 (LV); Obama 52, Romney 41 (RV)
OHIO (NBC News/Marist): Obama 51, Romney 45 (LV); Obama 51, Romney 44 (RV)
OHIO (PPP): Obama 52, Romney 47
OHIO (YouGov): Obama 49, Romney 46
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama 49, Romney 46
PENNSYLVANIA (PPP): Obama 52, Romney 46
PENNSYLVANIA (Susquehanna Research--R): Obama 47, Romney 47
PENNSYLVANIA (YouGov): Obama 52, Romney 44
TENNESSEE (YouGov): Romney 53, Obama 42
TEXAS (YouGov): Romney 57, Obama 38
VIRGINIA (Ipsos-Reuters): Obama 47, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 42 (RV)
VIRGINIA (PPP): Obama 51, Romney 47
VIRGINIA (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 46
WASHINGTON (PPP): Obama 53, Romney 46
WASHINGTON (YouGov): Obama 54, Romney 40
WISCONSIN (Grove Insight for Project New America/USAction): Obama 48, Romney 42
WISCONSIN (PPP): Obama 51, Romney 48
WISCONSIN (YouGov): Obama 50, Romney 46
AZ-SEN (PPP): Jeff Flake (R) 51, Richard Carmona (D) 46A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...AZ-SEN (YouGov): Jeff Flake (R) 49, Richard Carmona (D) 42
CA-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D) 56, Elizabeth Emken (R) 39
CT-SEN (YouGov): Chris Murphy (D) 46, Linda McMahon (R) 44
FL-SEN (Ipsos-Reuters): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 54, Connie Mack IV (R) 39 (LV); Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 55, Connie Mack IV (R) 34 (RV)
FL-SEN (Mason Dixon): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 49, Connie Mack IV (R) 43
FL-SEN (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 52, Connie Mack IV (R) 43 (LV); Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 52, Connie Mack IV (R) 42 (RV)
FL-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 50, Connie Mack IV (R) 44
IN-SEN (YouGov): Joe Donnelly (D) 47, Richard Mourdock (R) 45
ME-SEN (Critical Insights): Angus King (I) 49, Charlie Summers (R) 33, Cynthia Dill (D) 11
MD-SEN (YouGov): Ben Cardin (D) 57, Daniel Bongino (R) 34
MA-SEN (Univ of Mass-Lowell): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 49, Elizabeth Warren (D) 48
MA-SEN (Western New England College): Elizabeth Warren (D) 50, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46
MA-SEN (YouGov): Elizabeth Warren (D) 50, Scott Brown (R) 43
MI-SEN (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 50, Pete Hoekstra (R) 43
MI-SEN (PPP): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 53, Pete Hoekstra (R) 40
MI-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 53, Pete Hoekstra (R) 41
MN-SEN (PPP): Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) 62, Kurt Bills (R) 32
MN-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) 60, Kurt Bills (R) 32
MO-SEN (PPP): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 48, Todd Akin (R) 44, Jonathan Dine (L) 6
MO-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 52, Todd Akin (R) 42
MT-SEN (Mason Dixon): Denny Rehberg (R) 49, Jon Tester (D) 45
MT-SEN (PPP): Sen. Jon Tester (D) 48, Denny Rehberg (R) 46, Dan Cox (L) 4
NV-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 49, Shelley Berkley (D) 40
NJ-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 51, Joe Kyrillos (R) 36
NM-SEN (Public Opinion Strategies for the Wilson campaign): Martin Heinrich (D) 46, Heather Wilson (R) 46, Jon Barrie (IAP) 3
NM-SEN (YouGov): Martin Heinrich (D) 50, Heather Wilson (R) 43
NY-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 61, Wendy Long (R) 29
OH-SEN (Columbus Dispatch): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 45
OH-SEN (Ipsos-Reuters): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 42 (LV); Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 39 (RV)
OH-SEN (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 45 (LV); Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 49, Josh Mandel (R) 44 (RV)
OH-SEN (PPP): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 54, Josh Mandel (R) 44
OH-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 48, Josh Mandel (R) 48
OH-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 48, Josh Mandel (R) 46
PA-SEN (Muhlenberg College): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 48, Tom Smith (R) 42
PA-SEN (PPP): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 52, Tom Smith (R) 44
PA-SEN (Susquehanna Research--R): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 46, Tom Smith (R) 45
PA-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 50, Tom Smith (R) 42
TN-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Bob Corker (R) 62, Mark Clayton (D) 29
TX-SEN (YouGov): Ted Cruz (R) 57, Paul Sadler (D) 36
VA-SEN (Ipsos-Reuters): Tim Kaine (D) 48, George Allen (R) 46 (LV); Tim Kaine (D) 47, George Allen (R) 42 (RV)
VA-SEN (PPP): Tim Kaine (D) 52, George Allen (R) 46
VA-SEN (YouGov): Tim Kaine (D) 46, George Allen (R) 46
WA-SEN (PPP): Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) 57, Michael Baumgartner (R) 39
WA-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) 56, Michael Baumgartner (R) 38
WI-SEN (PPP): Tammy Baldwin (D) 51, Tommy Thompson (R) 48
WI-SEN (YouGov): Tammy Baldwin (D) 48, Tommy Thompson (R) 47
MO-GOV (PPP): Gov. Jay Nixon (D) 53, Dave Spence (R) 45
MT-GOV (PPP): Steve Bullock (D) 48, Rick Hill (R) 48, Ron Vandeventer (L) 2
NH-GOV (PPP): Maggie Hassan (D) 51, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 47
NH-GOV (Univ. of New Hampshire): Maggie Hassan (D) 47, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 42, Others 3
WA-GOV (PPP): Jay Inslee (D) 50, Rob McKenna (R) 48
ME-01 (Critical Insights): Rep. Chellie Pingree (D) 56, Jon Courtney (R) 37
ME-02 (Critical Insights): Rep. Mike Michaud (D) 55, Kevin Raye (R) 36
MT-AL (Mason Dixon): Steve Daines (R) 51, Kim Gillan (D) 40
MT-AL (PPP): Steve Daines (R) 48, Kim Gillan (D) 44, Dave Kaiser (L) 3
NY-24 (Siena): Dan Maffei (D) 44, Ann Marie Buerkle (R) 44, Ursula Rozum (G) 8
NY-27 (Siena): Chris Collins (R) 48, Rep. Kathy Hochul (D) 47
UT-04 (Dan Jones and Associates): Mia Love (R) 48, Rep. Jim Matheson (D) 43
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