47 percent, here it comes! When we last checked in on Dave Wasserman's popular vote tally (based on county-by-county tabulations), Mitt Romney was at 47.58 percent of the vote. His total has been steadily decreasing as the vote continues to be reported in heavily Democratic states like California, and as heavily Democratic provisional ballots get tallied everywhere. As we noted yesterday, President Barack Obama already has a higher popular vote margin than George W. Bush had in 2004. While Bush's margin over John Kerry was a sliver over 3 million, the margin in 2012 now exceeds 4 million votes.
Obama has also officially exceeded Bush's margin of the vote'50.73 in 2004, versus 50.75 oercent today.
More excitingly, this:
Prince George's, MD: 25,122 new votes for Obama, 3,354 Romney. Obama crosses 64M votes, Romney down to 47.56%: https://t.co/...' @Redistrict via web
If Romney hits 47.49 percent, his totals will round down to 47 percent. It doesn't matter of course, but it would be delicious irony to see him finish the election at that very famous 47 percent mark. And in a year full of fun outcomes (like Allen West conceding today), why not squeeze one more?
So thanks, Maryland, for getting us that much closer. With huge chunks of California and New York still outstanding, it would be surprising if the final rounded results aren't 51-47. (Note, only 10 states have completely finished their counts.)
The actual margin, 3.19 points, also means that my predictions are even better than previously determined. I predicted a 3.5-point margin in the popular vote, and we continue to inch up ever closer to that.
Update: Sheesh, how does Jennifer Rubin keep her job? Just posted a couple of hours ago:
As of last Friday, Romney's popular vote total was 59,142,004, about 800,000 short of McCain's total. By contrast, President Obama's has reached 62,615,406. That is about 7 million fewer than he got in 2008.How does someone who pretends to write about elections not know that there are election journalists tracking this data in real time? And yes, I'm talking about the spreadsheet I've been linking to, maintained by Dave Wasserman. If she wasn't so clueless about anything not coming directly from PR flacks, she would know that Romney now has about 32,000 more votes than McCain got, and that Obama is about 5.5 million short of his 2008 totals.
Seriously, keeping up with facts and reality isn't hard. I'm not sure why conservative pundits have such a difficult time with it.
1:26 PM PT: Ahh, the joys of redistricting:
House Dems' popular vote margin over House GOP (while winning just 201/435 seats) just hit 500,000 votes: https://t.co/...— @Redistrict via web
If you're not in a state with non-partisan redistricting, there's something for you to start working for.
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