Sunday, April 22, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Weekend Digest: Has Barack Obama weathered the GOP post-primary bounce?

This week, it was pretty much without dispute that there was some polling movement in Mitt Romney's direction. There is, of course, precedent for this: there is often a so-called primary "bounce" when a candidate finally clinches a nomination and his/her party coalesces around their new standard-bearer.

If it was a bounce, though, it may not have been a very substantial one. What's more, taking a wide-angle lens at the polling data, it looks like Barack Obama would still have to be considered no worse than a 50/50 shot to be re-elected.

And, as is often the case with campaign "bounces", this one proves to be ephemeral, an Obama re-election win could be by a healthy margin.

Downballot, we got a real good look at the money chase this week, as April 15th brought not only "Tax Day" (delayed a bit because the 15th fell on a Sunday), but also the FEC April Quarterly filing deadline. Daily Kos also asked our polling partners at PPP to look at Wisconsin, with decidedly mixed results.

All that (and more!) in this "whose bright idea was it to have Coachella on 4/20" edition of the Weekend Digest...


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