At long last, after 24 months, and nearly 2900 polls, we have arrived at the eve of Election Day 2012. It almost seems hard to believe, but we are now less than 24 hours away from the actual tabulation of votes. The final Wrap of the 2012 cycle adds 69 polls to the mix, meaning we have seen just over 200 polls since the Friday night Wrap went to press. By this time tomorrow night, we will know the identity of, or at least be well on the way to knowing the identity of, 435 members of the House, over a third of the Senate, and over a dozen governors. We will also know whether or not we are standing by our 44th president of the United States, or ushering in a 45th president.
And what do the final polling numbers tell us? They tell us that in the Congress, the status quo seems the likeliest outcome (though there is at least a shade of uncertainty there). And they tell us that, in the battle for the White House, the status quo is more likely than not, as well.
More on that after the jump. For now, though, on to the numbers:
PRESIDENTIAL POLLING:
NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo Tracking): Obama 50, Romney 47DOWNBALLOT POLLING:NATIONAL (American Research Group): Obama 49, Romney 49
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney 49, Obama 48 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 46 (RV)
NATIONAL (Gravis Marketing): Obama 48, Romney 48
NATIONAL (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps): Obama 49, Romney 45
NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama 48, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 47, Romney 43 (RV)
NATIONAL (Monmouth University): Obama 48, Romney 48
NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama 50, Romney 48
NATIONAL (PPP Tracking for Americans United For Change): Obama 50, Romney 48
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney 49, Obama 48
NATIONAL (UPI/CVoter): Obama 49, Romney 48
COLORADO (Ipsos-Reuters): Obama 48, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 52, Romney 41 (RV)
COLORADO (Keating Research/OnSight--D): Obama 50, Romney 46
COLORADO (Lake Research--D): Obama 45, Romney 44, Others 3
COLORADO (PPP): Obama 52, Romney 46
FLORIDA (Angus Reid): Obama 49, Romney 49
FLORIDA (Gravis Marketing--R): Obama 49, Romney 49
FLORIDA (Insider Advantage--R): Romney 52, Obama 47
FLORIDA (Ipsos-Reuters): Romney 48, Obama 47 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 43 (RV)
FLORIDA (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 49
IOWA (American Research Group): Romney 49, Obama 48
MICHIGAN (Angus Reid): Obama 52, Romney 47
MINNESOTA (SurveyUSA): Obama 52, Romney 41
MISSOURI (SurveyUSA): Romney 50, Obama 43, Others 4
NEVADA (PPP): Obama 51, Romney 47
NEW HAMPSHIRE (American Research Group): Obama 49, Romney 49
NEW HAMPSHIRE (New England College): Obama 50, Romney 46
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen): Obama 50, Romney 48
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Univ. of New Hampshire): Obama 50, Romney 46
NORTH CAROLINA (Gravis Marketing--R): Romney 50, Obama 46
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP): Romney 49, Obama 49
OHIO (Gravis Marketing--R): Obama 49, Romney 48
OHIO (Ipsos-Reuters): Obama 50, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 41 (RV)
OHIO (Rasmussen): Obama 49, Romney 49
OHIO (SurveyUSA): Obama 49, Romney 44
OHIO (Univ. of Cincinnati): Obama 50, Romney 49
PENNSYLVANIA (Angus Reid): Obama 51, Romney 47
PENNSYLVANIA (Gravis Marketing--R): Obama 49, Romney 46
SOUTH DAKOTA (Nielson Brothers): Romney 53, Obama 41
UTAH (Mason Dixon): Romney 70, Obama 25
VIRGINIA (Ipsos-Reuters): Obama 48, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 42 (RV)
VIRGINIA (Mellman Group for Americans United for Change): Obama 48, Romney 45
VIRGINIA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 48, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 46 (RV)
VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Romney 50, Obama 48
WISCONSIN (Angus Reid): Obama 53, Romney 46
FL-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 53, Connie Mack IV (R) 45Some final thoughts (!) await you just past the jump ...FL-SEN (Ipsos-Reuters): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 55, Connie Mack IV (R) 40 (LV); Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 54, Connie Mack IV (R) 33 (RV)
FL-SEN (PPP): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 51, Connie Mack IV (R) 46
MI-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 56, Pete Hoekstra (R) 43
MN-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Amy Klobuchar (R) 60, Kurt Bills (R) 30
MO-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 51, Todd Akin (R) 36, Jonathan Dine (L) 8
MT-SEN (Garin-Hart-Yang for Majority PAC): Jon Tester (D) 44, Denny Rehberg (R) 43, Others 4
OH-SEN (Ipsos-Reuters): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 52, Josh Mandel (R) 43 (LV); Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 40 (RV)
OH-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 48
OH-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 44, Josh Mandel (R) 41, Scott Rupert (I) 4
OH-SEN (Univ. of Cincinnati): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 47
PA-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 53, Tom Smith (R) 46
VA-SEN (Ipsos-Reuters): Tim Kaine (D) 48, George Allen (R) 45 (LV); Tim Kaine (D) 48, George Allen (R) 41 (RV)
VA-SEN (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 49, George Allen (R) 47
WI-SEN (Angus Reid): Tammy Baldwin (D) 50, Tommy Thompson (R) 48
MO-GOV(SurveyUSA): Gov. Jay Nixon (D) 48, Dave Spence (R) 39, Jim Higgins (L) 5
NH-GOV (New England College): Maggie Hassan (D) 47, Ovide Lamontagne 45
NH-GOV (Rasmussen): Maggie Hassan (D) 50, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 45
NH-GOV (Univ. of New Hampshire): Maggie Hassan (D) 49, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 40, Others 2
NC-GOV (PPP): Pat McCrory (R) 50, Walter Dalton (D) 43, Barbara Howe (L) 4
MN-08 (SurveyUSA): Rick Nolan (D) 47, Rep. Chip Cravaack (R) 45
NH-01 (Univ. of New Hampshire): Rep. Frank Guinta (R) 43, Carol Shea Porter (D) 43, Others 4
NH-02 (Univ. of New Hampshire): Ann McLane Kuster (D) 47, Rep. Charlie Bass (R) 40, Others 4
SD-AL (Nielson Brothers): Rep. Kristi Noem (R) 54, Matt Varilek (D) 41
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