Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: New polls show momentum for Joe Donnelly in Indiana Senate race

Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' IN-Sen: Look out! Dem Rep. Joe Donnelly's own internal pollster, Global Strategy Group, confirms the movement in his direction that the DSCC's firm, Anzalone Liszt, hinted at last week, in the wake of Richard Mourdock's instantly infamous comments about rape and God's will. Donnelly is now beating Mourdock 43-36, while Libertarian Andrew Horning is at 9, up from 40-38-8 a week ago. In a two-way matchup, Donnelly is ahead 47-38. (Anzalone had Donnelly leading 47-40 in the three-way.)

Mourdock tried to pre-empt this news with another internal of his own (from McLaughlin) that has him ahead 45-44-4, little changed from his 44-44-6 numbers a week ago. As has regularly been the case, though, his sample skews very old, and he also has Obama down 18 points (57-39). That's not impossible, I suppose, but that would nevertheless be quite a steep drop for the POTUS, all the way down to John Kerry levels.

There was also a third poll out of rarely-surveyed Indiana on Wednesday, on behalf of the DGA and Democrat John Gregg's gubernatorial campaign. In IN-Gov, Clarity Campaign Labs has Gregg trailing GOP Rep. Mike Pence by a surprisingly tiny 47-44 margin (much closer than any other poll has seen it). But Clarity's memo also says that Donnelly is ahead 49-42, similar to what both GSG and Anzalone have seen.

Pence, by the way, decided to respond with his own internal (from the oddly named "the polling company, inc./WomanTrend"), which has him up 46-37'quite a bit weaker than I'd have expected for a powerful Republican running in a red state with a ton of money. But here's the most telling thing: Unlike Gregg, Pence didn't release Mourdock numbers. Pence surely tested the Senate race'Mourdock's big mouth has definitely made Indiana politics go topsy-turvy, and a good pollster wants to get a holistic snapshot of the entire picture. So that almost certainly means Pence got bad numbers back for his fellow Republican. And that speaks volumes.