Tuesday, November 6, 2012

CBS exit poll numbers looking pretty darn good

These are all preliminary numbers, of course, subject to adjusting once final results are in. But for now, none of this points to an unexpected Romney surge:

CBS early exit polls show that 26 percent want repeal ObamaCare in whole, 25 percent want it expanded. But another 23% want some repealed.
— @ByronTau via TweetDeck

Only a quarter of voters want Obamacare repealed. Big conservative fail.

CBS early national exit polls: 15 percent said Obama's hurricane response was the most important factor in their vote.
— @ByronTau via TweetDeck

Good thing President Barack Obama got it right, huh? And thanks, Chris Christie!

Early exit polls show similar electorate to 2008, though slightly more Republican.
— @FixAaron via Seesmic twhirl

No one expected Obama to do as well as 2008, so some erosion is no big deal. But the entire Republican "unskewing" effort was predicated on turnout to look like 2004, when there was parity between Republicans and Democrats. So far, this preliminary exit poll data suggests the pollsters got it right.

PRELIMINARY> Better handle deficit? Romney 50-46. Trust to handle Medicare? Obama 51-45.
— @jaketapper via web

Only of these is important to voters. Still, we should've had better numbers on the Medicare question. Obama's biggest failure this cycle was not forcefully defending entitlements. Probably because he's looking at that grand bargain in the lame duck.

National Exit Poll: Direction of economy? Getting better: 39%, Getting worse: 31%, Staying the same: 28% (via @CBSNews)
— @thinkprogress via TweetDeck

Given that the polling composite showed right track-wrong track at 41-53, so 46-52 is great for us.

3:15 PM PT: What does infinite advertising spending buy you? Maybe this: prelim exit polls show that 56% of Ohio voters say Romney policies favor rich.
— @RonBrownstein via Twitter for iPad 3:23 PM PT: According to CNN: 73% voters today were White, 13% Black, 10% Latino. Comparing to 2008 -1 for Whites, +1 Latinos. #LatinoVote #VotoLatino
— @CarlosQC via web


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