Saturday, March 9, 2013

No, Dick Morris, Republicans haven't shifted on immigration ...

Blobfish Dick Morris. Writing at one of his usual wingnut haunts, the perpetually wrong Dick Morris is wrong again.
A new blockbuster survey by the noted Republican survey research firm McLaughlin and Associates reveals a stunning reversal of opinion by Republican voters on the issue of immigration reform. Where once there was hardened opposition to such legislation, a national sample of 500 self-described likely Republican voters shows broad support now emerging for the measure.

Asked about an immigration reform proposal that would 'grant illegal immigrants legal status and a green card and then, after a wait of several years, they could apply for citizenship if they pay back taxes, pay a fine, learn English and have no criminal record,' Republicans were supportive 66 percent to 30 percent. The proposal got 30 percent strong support, while 36 percent somewhat supported it, 10 percent somewhat opposed it and 20 percent strongly opposed the measure.

McLaughling and Associates was among the most-wrong pollsters in 2012, so anyone who cites them approvingly is automatically an idiot.

But does this poll actually show a big shift in rank-and-file Republican support for immigration reform? Morris certainly doesn't cite any trendlines. And there's a reason'because comprehensive reform has always been popular with Republicans. Look at this 2009 poll, in which 62 percent of Republicans were supportive of reform. Or this one in which 67 percent of McCain voters supported reform. Or this most recent Fox News poll showing 63 percent of Republicans supportive.

In fact, in all polls asking about comprehensive immigration reform'a path to citizenship as long as undocumented immigrants have a clean criminal record, learn English, and pay back taxes/fine, I couldn't find a single one in which Republican support wasn't above 60 percent, and that's because there has always been broad popular consensus over the need and desirability of legalizing our undocumented population. There has been no "stunning reversal" in opinion.

In other words, the roadblock to reform hasn't been Republicans, it has been Republicans in Congress. As is often the case, the elected GOP is beholden to a tiny vocal fringe, and they'll suffer the electoral repercussions for a long, long time.

A smart person who knew what he or she was talking about would've known that. In other words, not Dick Morris.

... Though I'm starting to get suspicious'how can someone be this consistently wrong? Is he being wrong on purpose? Is that his brand, the guy who is always wrong (and still gets suckers to pay for his shit)?

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