Friday, September 28, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Romney barely competitive in places he needs to win

With the week (from a polling standpoint, at least) that Mitt Romney has had, any day that you are not hemorrhaging is a comparatively good day. So let's call the day a decent one for the Republican nominee. There were not a flurry of polls showing him down high-single or double digits in states thought to be tossups less than a month ago. So, I suppose, he has that going for him.

And, he may well have locked down Indiana. So, there's that, as well.

The problem persists, however, for fans of the GOP ticket. If you want to stay tethered to the planet (which would demand that you ignore all of this inane "unskewing" bullshit), it is becoming harder and harder, as time continues to grow shorter and shorter, to envision a coalition that gets Mitt Romney to 270 electoral votes.

More on that after the jump. But, first, the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL POLLING:

NATIONAL (Fox News): Obama 48, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 41 (RV)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama 50, Romney 44

NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama 49, Romney 42 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 38 (RV)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama 48, Romney 48


ARIZONA (Moore Information--R): Romney 46, Obama 42, Others 4

ARIZONA (Rasmussen): Romney 52, Obama 42

CONNECTICUT (PPP): Obama 54, Romney 41

INDIANA (Howey/DePauw): Obama 52, Romney 40 Romney 52, Obama 40

IOWA (Voter/Consumer Research for the Iowa Republican--R): Romney 47, Obama 46

NEVADA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 49, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 51, Romney 44 (RV)

NEW HAMPSHIRE (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the Hassan for Governor campaign): Obama 52, Romney 45

NEW HAMPSHIRE (NBC News/Marist): Obama 51, Romney 44 (LV), Obama 51, Romney 43 (RV)

NORTH CAROLINA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 48, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 45 (RV)

VIRGINIA (Suffolk University): Obama 46, Romney 44, Others 2

WASHINGTON (Gravis Marketing--R): Obama 56, Romney 39

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
AZ-SEN (Moore Information--R): Jeff Flake (R) 43, Richard Carmona (D) 40, Marc Victor (L) 4

IN-SEN (Howey/DePauw): Joe Donnelly (D) 40, Richard Mourdock (R) 38, Andrew Horning (L) 7

ME-SEN (Rasmussen): Angus King (I) 45, Charlie Summers (R) 33, Cynthia Dill (D) 14

MN-SEN (Mason Dixon): Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) 57, Kurt Bills (R) 28

NV-SEN (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 49, Shelley Berkley (D) 43 (LV); Sen. Dean Heller (R) 48, Shelley Berkley (D) 44

VA-SEN (Suffolk University): George Allen (R) 44, Tim Kaine (D) 44


IN-GOV (Howey/DePauw): Mike Pence (R) 47, John Gregg (D) 34, Rupert Boneham (L) 5

NH-GOV (Feldman Group for the NH Freedom Fund--D): Maggie Hassan (D) 50, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 41

NH-GOV (NBC News/Marist): Maggie Hassan (D) 47, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 45 (LV); Maggie Hassan (D) 47, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 44 (RV)

NC-GOV (NBC News/Marist): Pat McCrory (R) 52, Walter Dalton (D) 39 (LV); Pat McCrory (R) 51, Walter Dalton (D) 38 (RV)


CA-44 (SurveyUSA): Rep. Janice Hahn (D) 43, Rep. Laura Richardson (D) 33

FL-18 (Public Opinion Strategies for the West campaign): Rep. Allen West (R) 52, Patrick Murphy (D) 41

IA-04 (American Viewpoint for American Future Fund--R): Rep. Steve King (R) 48, Christie Vilsack (D) 41

IA-04 (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the Vilsack campaign): Rep. Steve King (R) 46, Christie Vilsack (D) 44, Martin Moore (I) 4

IA-04 (PPP for Credo Mobile): Rep. Steve King (R) 48, Christie Vilsack (D) 45

NY-25 (Siena College): Rep. Louise Slaughter (D) 52, Maggie Brooks (R) 42

WI-07 (PPP for Credo Mobile): Rep. Sean Duffy (R) 48, Pat Kreitlow (D) 44


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