Saturday, December 1, 2012

Open thread for night owls: Insurance report'Extreme weather already costing us dearly

Joe Rosenberg writes Insurance report: Extreme weather already costing us dearly:

On the eve of the US elections, Hurricane Sandy rudely popped the bubble of global warming denial that has enveloped the US political system. But we can't say we weren't warned. Indeed, less than a week before Sandy first started forming as a tropical storm, global reinsurance giant Munich Re issued a report about the long-term trend of increasing extreme events, and the threats to life and property that they pose. Severe Weather in North America: Perils, Risks, Insurance runs 277 pages, focusing on the period 1980-2011'during which losses totalled just over $1 trillion'and notes:

"The number of natural catastrophes per year has been rising dramatically on all continents since 1980, but the trend is steepest for North America," adding, "This increase is entirely attributable to weather events, as there has been a negative trend for geophysical events."  

According to the press release, "The insured losses amounted to US $510bn, and some 30,000 people lost their lives due to weather catastrophes in North America during this time frame. With US $62.2bn insured losses and overall losses of US $125bn (in original values) Hurricane Katrina in 2005 was the costliest event ever recorded in the U.S. Katrina was also the deadliest single storm event, claiming 1,322 lives." 

After Katrina, seven years ago, I interviewed a climate scientist working for another major reinsurance company, so this report immediately caught my attention. As a reality-based business that has to pay a good chunk of the costs of climate change, I knew their perspective spoke for many others as well who were not being heard from.

Then another global warming report came out from the World Bank, which only threw Munich Re's report into sharper focus. Turn Down The Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided warns that the world is headed toward a rise of 4°C (7.2°F) by the end of the century, and that current pledges to reduce emissions will only marginally reduce that figure. "All regions of the world would suffer - some more than others," the report's press release warns, "but the report finds that the poor will suffer the most." It also finds that, "the most vulnerable regions are in the tropics, sub-tropics and towards the poles, where multiple impacts are likely to come together." 

If you haven't already seen it, a good companion piece to this one is A Siegel's California Megastorm as sign of Catastrophic Climate Chaos Cliff. While Californians face this, inhabitants of other states (and, of course, other nations) face their own "mega" hits from climate change.

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