Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Senate Democrats, ascending

With a disproportionate amount of the public and media attention in an election year traditionally fixated on the race for the White House, it might seem a bit surprising that the predominant theme of today's Polling Wrap is what is going on down-ballot.

But when a series of polls take a sledgehammer to the long-held notion that the GOP was at least even money to claim the majority in the U.S. Senate, it seems to be a worthy topic for discussion.

So we shall. But first, on to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (48-45)

NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama d. Romney (48-43 LV; 46-41 RV)

NATIONAL (Monmouth): Obama d. Romney (48-45 LV; 48-41 RV)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (48-48)

NATIONAL (UPI/CVoter): Obama d. Romney (49-45)

INDIANA (Global Strategy Group for the Donnelly campaign): Romney d. Obama (47-41)

KENTUCKY (SurveyUSA): Romney d. Obama (53-39)

VIRGINIA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (51-46)

WISCONSIN (PPP for D.F.A.): Obama d. Romney (49-48)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
FL-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 47, Connie Mack IV (R) 40

IN-SEN (Global Strategy Group for the Mourdock Donnelly campaign): Joe Donnelly (D) 45, Richard Mourdock (R) 42

MA-SEN (PPP): Elizabeth Warren (D) 48, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46

MA-SEN (Western New England College): Elizabeth Warren (D) 50, Scott Brown (R) 44 (53-41 among RVs)

NM-SEN (Public Opinion Strategies for the Wilson campaign): Martin Heinrich (D) 46, Heather Wilson (R) 41

NC-GOV (Rasmussen): Pat McCrory (R) 51, Walter Dalton (D) 38

VA-SEN (PPP): Tim Kaine (D) 47, George Allen (R) 46

VA-SEN (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 47, George Allen (R) 45

WI-SEN (Feldman Group for the Baldwin campaign): Tammy Baldwin (D) 50, Tommy Thompson (R) 45

WI-SEN (PPP for D.F.A.): Tammy Baldwin (D) 48, Tommy Thompson (R) 45

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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