Friday, December 7, 2012

Dick Morris: Sandy killed Romney except nevermind it was Bain because of white people

Crying sad clown. Dick Morris. It really is impressive how Dick Morris can keep piling fail on top of fail.
Now that all the data is in, the fundamental reason for Romney's defeat is apparent, if largely unreported. It is not just that blacks, Latinos, and single women showed up in record numbers at the polls. It's that whites didn't.

The final numbers suggest that 91.6 million votes were cast by whites ' seven million less than the 98.6 million that were cast in 2008! Meanwhile, 16.6 million blacks voted ' 300,000 more than in 2008; 11 million Latinos voted ' 1.7 million more votes than were cast by Hispanics in 2008.

131.3 million Americans cast votes in 2008. Unlike what Morris states, the numbers aren't final, but it looks like there will be about 129 million cast this year.

According to the exit polls, that means that 92.9 million whites cast ballots in 2012, compared to  97.2 million in 2008. Not sure where Morris is getting his numbers, but certainly not from planet reality. Oh, and that's 4.3 million less whites, not seven million.

Furthermore, the percentage of African Americans was 13 percent in both 2008 and 2012. So with overall turnout down, that means that African American turnout is also down marginally. Morris thinks their turnout increased by 300,000. According to the exit polls, it actually decreased by 300,000. Of course, this is within the exit polling margin of error, but it's the only hard data we have about election turnout. Morris is just pulling shit ouf of you-know-where. As usual. As for Latinos, 1.7 million more cast votes in 2012, which is what Morris wrote. So how can he get a single data point right, and others so wrong?

Oh, and he gets much, much more wrong. Follow me below the fold for more.

10:10 AM PT: BPARTR in the comments makes a great point:

Morris and everyone else seems to think if more whites had voted they would all have voted for Romney- but that is bunk.  Even if Morris is right, and 4.3 million whites stayed home because of Sandy- Romney still would have lost the popular vote by more than 2 million votes.
Obama's current lead in the popular vote is nearly five million. Romney could win 100 percent of the 4.3 million white voters who dropped off from 2008 and still win the national popular vote. This election just wasn't that close.

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