Just like Wednesday, a metric ton of polling was dropped onto the head of your intrepid Wrap curator, as yesterday's record of 39 separate polls was shattered by today's tiny offering of 54 unique polls. But, hey, there's no crying in polling analysis, so let's get on with it. The problem today, in all candor, is trying to find a coherent theme for the day. I suppose if one exists, it is that a number of rapidly developing memes took a shot in the gut today. It was almost like today was some kind of an homage to ESPN football analyst Lee Corso, the former coach who is fond of refuting his colleagues with a pointed statement that begins with the words "not so fast, my friend!"
Think the GOP is safe in the battle for control of the Speaker's gavel? Not so fast, my friend!
Think Elizabeth Warren is a lock in Massachusetts, and that Arizona will stay red at the Senate level? Not so fast, my friend!
Think that Mitt Romney's 47 percent comment would devastate his prospects in national polling? Not so fast, my friend!
And, friends, don't even try to make sense of the presidential state polling. It is an invitation to utter confusion.
With that in mind, on to the numbers:
PRESIDENTIAL POLLING:
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 47DOWNBALLOT POLLING:NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters): Obama 48, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 38 (RV)
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking w/leaners): Obama 50, Romney 47
NATIONAL (Univ. of Connecticut): Obama 46, Romney 43
CALIFORNIA (PPIC): Obama 53, Romney 39
COLORADO (NBC News/Marist): Obama 50, Romney 45 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 44 (RV)
COLORADO (YouGov): Obama 49, Romney 45
CONNECTICUT (Univ. of Connecticut): Obama 53, Romney 32
FLORIDA (Caddell and McLaughlin--R): Romney 48, Obama 44
FLORIDA (We Ask America--R): Obama 49, Romney 46
FLORIDA (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 46
IOWA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 50, Romney 42 (LV); Obama 51, Romney 40 (RV)
IOWA (Rasmussen): Romney 47, Obama 44
IOWA (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 42
MASSACHUSETTS (Univ. of Mass-Lowell): Obama 59, Romney 36 (LV); Obama 60, Romney 35 (RV)
MICHIGAN (Glengariff Group for the Detroit News): Obama 52, Romney 38
MICHIGAN (YouGov): Obama 51, Romney 42
NEVADA (CNN/ORC): Obama 49, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 44 (RV)
NEVADA (Rasmussen): Obama 47, Romney 45
NEVADA (YouGov): Obama 51, Romney 43
NEW HAMPSHIRE (YouGov): Obama 47, Romney 40
NORTH CAROLINA (High Point University): Obama 46, Romney 43
NORTH CAROLINA (YouGov): Obama 46, Romney 46
OHIO (Caddell and McLaughlin--R): Obama 47, Romney 44
OHIO (YouGov): Obama 47, Romney 44
PENNSYLVANIA (Susquehanna Research--R): Obama 48, Romney 47
PENNSYLVANIA (We Ask America--R): Obama 48, Romney 42
PENNSYLVANIA (YouGov): Obama 52, Romney 43
VIRGINIA (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 44
WISCONSIN (NBC News/Marist): Obama 50, Romney 45 (LV); Obama 51, Romney 43 (RV)
WISCONSIN (PPP): Obama 52, Romney 45
WISCONSIN (Rasmussen): Obama 49, Romney 46
WISCONSIN (YouGov): Obama 48, Romney 46
AZ-SEN (Unidentified Republican Pollster): Richard Carmona (D) 44, Jeff Flake (R) 39A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...FL-SEN (We Ask America--R): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 47, Connie Mack IV (R) 42
FL-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 44, Connie Mack IV (R) 40
MA-SEN (Univ. of Mass-Lowell): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 49, Elizabeth Warren (D) 45 (LV); Sen. Scott Brown (R) 50, Elizabeth Warren (D) 44 (RV)
MI-SEN (Glengariff Group for the Detroit News): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 50, Pete Hoekstra (R) 34
MI-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 46, Pete Hoekstra (R) 40
NV-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 42, Shelley Berkley (D) 41
NV-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 42, Shelley Berkley (D) 35
NJ-SEN (Fairleigh Dickinson): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 50, Joe Kyrillos (R) 36 (LV); Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 49, Joe Kyrillos (R) 33 (RV)
OH-SEN (YouGov): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 46, Josh Mandel (R) 42
PA-SEN (YouGov): Bob Casey (D) 46, Tom Smith (R) 38
VA-SEN (YouGov): Tim Kaine (D) 43, George Allen (R) 42
WI-SEN (NBC News/Marist): Tammy Baldwin (D) 48, Tommy Thompson (R) 46 (LV); Tammy Baldwin (D) 49, Tommy Thompson (R) 44
WI-SEN (YouGov): Tommy Thompson (R) 48, Tammy Baldwin (D) 42
NC-GOV (YouGov): Pat McCrory (R) 48, Walter Dalton (D) 32
CA-10 (DCCC IVR): Jose Hernandez (D) 46, Rep. Jeff Denham (R) 44
IL-08 (Tarrance Group for the Walsh campaign): Tammy Duckworth (D) 47, Rep. Joe Walsh (R) 45
ME-01 (Maine Peoples Resource Center): Rep. Chellie Pingree (D) 60, Jon Courtney (R) 32
ME-02 (Maine Peoples Resource Center): Rep. Mike Michaud (D) 56, Kevin Raye (R) 37
MI-01 (PPP for the League of Conservation Voters): Gary McDowell (D) 44, Rep. Dan Benishek (R) 42
RI-01 (Feldman Group for the Cicilline campaign): Rep. David Cicilline (D) 46, Brendan Doherty (R) 36, David Vogel (I) 7
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